This is a series that covers a potential redistricting scenario: What would happen if the size of a House of Representatives district was a million, thus reducing the size of the House to 309 seats? Part 1, covering AL to FL, is here.
Georgia
Instead of gaining a seat from 13 to 14, Georgia drops to 10 seats.
Blue: Bishop's toast in this 57% McCain seat.
Green: Barrow's toast against Kingston in this 55% McCain seat.
Greyish Blue (Athens-Augusta): Broun will be fine here. 57.5% McCain
Red: 71.9% McCain. Graves should love this.
Purple: 67.3%, even primary matchup between Westmoreland and Gingrey.
Grey: Woodall would run here in this Safe R seat, but might not have a clear primary.
Pink: Lewis, Black VRA at 52% VAP.
Light Blue: Scott (though he'll have to fight for the primary), Black VRA at 50% VAP. Most of the Republican Scott's district is also in here, but obviously he has no shot.
Yellow: Johnson, Black VRA at 50% VAP.
Darker blue (North Atlanta): For now, Likely R at 50.4% McCain. Open seat. Trends blue, so might be Democratic later in the decade.
People who lose out:
Democrats: Bishop, Barrow
Republicans: Price (seat eliminated), Scott (seat eliminated), Westmoreland or Gingrey, but also a new Republican who beats Bishop and probably one in the North Atlanta seat.
D-2, R-1.
---Hawaii becomes an at-large state. D-1.
Idaho
Keeps its two districts, it'd just be closer to one than to three as it's right now.
Blue: 69.2% McCain, Simpson.
Green: 57.7% McCain, Labrador.
Although this is friendlier to Dems than the current map I actually consider this a CoI map. Splitting Boise is necessary, as the panhandle and Mormon country can't go together at any cost.
Illinois
Illinois goes to 13 districts. This map makes impressively clear how IL is a natural GOP gerrymander.
Blue (Downstate/St.Louis): 52.6% Obama. Costello v. Shimkus, Lean R.
Grass Green: 50.6% McCain, Johnson.
Salmon: 50-48.3% Obama, Schock
Blue (Rockford): 54.9% Obama, Manzullo over Schilling. Lean R.
Grey (Joliet): 51.5% Obama, Kinzinger.
Green: 57.1% Obama, Walsh v. Dold (advantage Dold, I guess). Lean R with Dold, Likely D with Walsh.
Teal (Aurora-Napierville): 56.1% Obama, Hultgren over Biggert. Lean R
Red (DuPage): 56.8% Obama, Roskam. Lean R.
Purple: 58.8% Obama, open. Likely D for Krishnamoorti.
Blue: 76.8% Obama, Schakowsky v. Quigley.
Yellow: Gutierrez, 67% Hispanic VAP.
Pink: Black VRA (53% VAP), Davis over Lipinski.
Light Blue: Jackson v. Rush.
Result: Potentially 8-5 Republican.
D losers: Jackson or Rush, Lipinski, Costello, Schakowsky or Quigley, but they add Krishnamoorti.
R losers: Biggert, Walsh, Schilling
D-3, R-3.
Indiana
Indiana goes from 9 districts to 6.
Yellow: 57.1% Obama, Visclosky. Likely D with him, Safe D with anybody else.
Blue: Stutzman, 51.4% McCain. Likely R.
Green: Open seat, since Pence is retiring.
Bluish (Evansville): Young vs. Bucshon. At 50.8% McCain a major opening for Ellsworth, Toss-Up with him, Likely R otherwise.
Red: Rokita.
Purple (Indianapolis): Carson.
D losers: Donnelly (retiring). Maybe pick up Ellsworth.
R losers: Burton, Pence (retiring), Bucshon or Young (or maybe both). Pick up open seat in Pence's area.
D-0, R-3.
Iowa
I'm not going by their weird redistricting rules (keeping counties whole trumps communities of interests). Iowa goes from 5 to 3 districts.
Blue: Obama 53.7%. Boswell represents 56%, Latham 25%. (+King 10%, Loebsack 9%).
Boswell would in this district be favored, I think. Lean D.
Green: Obama 60.0%. Loebsack v. Braley.
Purple: Obama 50.6%, King represents 46%, Latham 31%. Safe R for King.
D losers: Loebsack or Braley
R losers: Latham
D-1, R-1.
Kansas
Kansas loses one district, going from 4 to 3.
Blue: Pompeo, Safe R.
Green: 50.3% Obama. Yoder. Likely R.
Purple: Huelskamp v. Jenkins, advantage Huelskamp.
D-0 (obviously), R-1.
Louisiana
Louisiana takes a giant hit, going down from 7 to 4 districts.
Red: Fleming v. Alexander primary. Absolutely fair, Fleming represents 566558 people, Alexander 565082. Nobody else has a share in this.
Purple: Boustany over Landry, easily (60 vs. 24% representation).
Green: Richmond over Cassidy, in this Black VRA seat (50% VAP). Finally, Baton Rouge is Democratic.
Blue: Scalise at least has a safe seat.
D-0, R-3 (Cassidy, Landry, Fleming v. Alexander).
Reduction alltogether in this diary: D-7, R-12.
Reduction combined with the last diary: D-19, R-29.