All right some of you may have remembered my diary last month about if congressional districts crossed state-lines. Many people are interested about the Wyoming rule or doubling the house but under that, there would still be disparities. Under this plan there would be almost none.
This is a hypothetical scenario had this method had been done with the 2000 census. As said in the previous diary, each district has around 645,000 people. The districts that cross state lines (The “Interstate” Districts) are either black or sky blue. I already did the northeast so now I’m on to the Midwest.
A Final Note: Some of the pictures may not fit the screen even though the pictures are 400x400. For a better view, click on it to see it on photobucket
Ohio
Interstate PA-OH
Incumbent: James Traficant D-Poland
Racial Statistics: 85.8% White
Comments: Traficant was expelled for bribes or something like that so the district was left without an incumbent. This district isn’t that much different from the current 17th except it takes in some of Lawrence County, PA. Tim Ryan, one of the younger members of the house, won the district in 02 and has had no problems holding re-election.
District 1
Incumbent: Steve Chabot R-Cincinnati
Racial Statistics: 69.5% White
Comments: Chabot was never all that safe due to the fact that it had a large black population and his militant conservatism. No major changes from the actual district and I would assume the same would have happened with him losing in 2008 and regaining it in 2010.
District 2
Incumbent: Rob Portman R-Terrace Park
Racial Statistics: 91.4% White
Comments: Cincinnati has always had some of the most loyal republican suburbs and this district contains the loyalist of those suburbs. Portman retired in 04 and was replaced by Mean Jean who managed to hold on, despite her abrasiveness.
District 3
Incumbent: Tony Hall D-Dayton
Racial Statistics: 79.5% White
Comments: I forgot why he gave this district up. It’s a marginal district and he was a longtime incumbent and would probably have been fine here since he survived 1994. This district changes somewhat as it now would include all of MontCo. Nonetheless, Mike Turner won this district upon Hall’s retirement and under this map he probably would have been OK, since he isn’t overly right wing.
District 4
Incumbent: Mike Oxley R-Findlay
Racial Statistics: 91.9% White
Comments: It shifts slightly further south into Clark County, but this would still have been an ultra safe district not having gone dem since the end of the Great Depression
District 5
Incumbent: Paul Gillmor R-Old Fort
Racial Statistics: 93.7% White
Comments: Although not as GOP as the 4th, this would still be a safe GOP district that booted out a dem incumbent in 1938 amid an isolationist backlash (due to the German ancestry of this district) and has been republican since. Paul Gillmor was the incumbent here, who if I recall, was more of a DeWine-type republican. He died suddenly in 07 (I think he had a heart attack) and Bob Latta, a state senator and son of Gillmor’s predecessor, won this district.
District 6
Incumbent: Ted Strickland D-Lucasville
Racial Statistics: 95% White
Comments: This would be a marginal district with a heavily labor population but also with a so-con edge to it. Strickland was somewhat popular here (although he did get the boot in 94) and vacated it to run for governor in 2006. I’m sure the same thing would have happened in this district with Wilson being elected before losing to Bill Johnson in 2010.
District 7
Incumbent: Dave Hobson R-Springfield
Racial Statistics: 84.4% White
Comments: This is another district that was captured by Republicans in 1938 and has remained GOP since. I believe Mike DeWine represented this district in the 80s. It loses some of Clark County and takes in more of Franklin but this district would still be about an R+7 district either way. Hobson retired in 08 and was replaced by Steve Austria.
District 8
Incumbent: Bob Ney R-St Clairsville
Racial Statistics: 95.4% White
Comments: This district would probably have a similar PVI to the 5th or 7th districts but would be more marginal due to a dixiecrat/labor influence. I’m assuming things would have been the same here with Ney resigning due to ethics issues and a dem winning it in 2006 before losing in 2010.
District 9
Incumbent: Marcy Kaptur D-Toledo
Racial Statistics: 78.9% White
Comments: None
District 10
Incumbent: Dennis Kucinich D-Cleveland
Racial Statistics: 88.1% White
Comments: anyone know why this part of Cuyahoga County is so white? IIRC, Parma used to be a sundown community. Anyway, this would probably be the same as the actual 10th with it being a dem-leaning district but maybe coming close to ousting Kucinich due to him being an oddball.
District 11
Incumbent: Stephanie Tubbs-Jones D-Cleveland
Racial Statistics: 54.5% Black
Comments: STJ died of a sudden aneurysm in 08 and was replaced by Marcia Fudge. This would obviously be a safe dem seat.
District 12
Incumbent: Pat Tiberi R-Columbus
Racial Statistics: 77.5% White
Comments: This district took in enough of dem-trending Franklin County to make it marginal but Tiberi is an adept campaigner and like the actual 12th, he would have been able to hold on here.
District 13
Incumbent: Sherrod Brown D-Lorain vs. Tom Sawyer D-Akron
Racial Statistics: 82.1% White
Comments: This was a vote-sink to cram all the labor areas into one seat. Sawyer I think retired and Brown ran here until running for the senate in 2006. He was replaced by Betty Sutton. This would be a heavy dem district and I would expect Brown and Sutton to have been easily re-elected here.
District 14
Incumbent: Steve LaTourette R-Madison Village
Racial Statistics: 93.7% White
Comments: This is a marginal/slight republican district. It takes suburban areas of NE Ohio. LaTourette would have been fine here, just as he was in the actual 14th due to his moderate voting record. If I recall, he dumped his wife to marry a lobbyist but the voters didn’t seem to mind.
District 15
Incumbent: Deb Pryce R-Columbus
Racial Statistics: 85.2% White
Comments: Similar to the 12th, this would have been a marginal district but Pryce held on it for the same reason Tiberi held on to the 12th: incumbency and good campaigning. She retired in 08 and I would assume the same to happen here, with a dem winning before losing in 2010.
District 16 Ralph Regula R-Navarre
Racial Statistics: 92.8% White
Comments: Anyone know why the Massillon-Canton area is more republican than say Youngstown or Akron. I thought it was a labor heavy city. Anyways, this was a marginal seat held by Ralph Regula who had been in office since the Nixon era. He was already 78 in 2002 and he retired in 08. Again the storyline would have been the same here as the 15th.
OH-IN
Incumbent: John Boehner R-Westchester
Racial Statistics: 93.3% White
Comments: This district changes a lot as the northern and eastern areas are lost to the 5th and 3rd districts. It then extends into eastern Indiana. But what does not change is the heavy Republican bent to this seat. Not much else needs to be said.
Indiana
District 1
Incumbent: Pete Visclosky D-Merrillville
Racial Statistics: 68.6% White
Comments: Much of this area has been democrat since the Great Depression. Next.
District 2
Incumbent: Tim Roemer D-South Bend
Racial Statistics: 84.5% White
Comments: Roemer was a good guy and would have held this seat but for some reason he retired. I would assume the same would happen here with Chris Chocola winning it in 2002 and losing in 2006 when people realized he was a right-wing hack. This would be a marginal district just like the actual 2nd was.
District 3
Incumbent: Mark Souder R-Fort Wayne
Racial Statistics: 87.2% White
Comments: This would have been a safe district for Souder and upon his resignation was won by State Senator Marlin Stutzman. Safe GOP
District 4
Incumbent: Steve Buyer R-Monticello
Racial Statistics: 93.5% White
Comments: The old 1st 3rd and 4th districts expanded to take in much of the old 5th district leaving Buyer in a district that was mostly new to him. Brian Kerns residence was put in the 8th but since this contained much of his old district he ran here. I would assume the same would have happened here with Buyer winning due to his seniority. He retired in 2010 (anyone know why) and was replaced by Todd Rokita. Like the actual 4th, this is a safe district and much of this territory hasn’t been represented by a dem since the 1950s.
District 5
Incumbent: Dan Burton R-Indianapolis
Racial Statistics: 92.4% White
Comments: Hamilton County is one of the most hyper-partisan places in the country. It’s like a GOP equivalent to Harlem. Even Bayh lost this county when he won landslides in U.S. senate races. Therefore any district with this county is safe republican. I’m assuming in this district that Burton would be fine in the general but have difficulty in the primary as he is universally hated by Indiana politicos, regardless of ideology.
District 6
Incumbent: Mike Pence R-Elwood
Racial Statistics: 92.5% White
Comments: This looks similar to the 1980s version of IN 2 which was designed to get rid of Phillip Sharp but never did. Sharp however the only democrat who could win that district and Pence would have no trouble winning this district.
District 7
Incumbent: Julia Carson D-Indianapolis
Racial Statistics: 62.4% White
Comments: Carson always underperformed the presidential ticket here and her last bid for re-election gave her only 54% despite the unpopularity of Dubya. She died in 07 and was replaced by her grandson, Andre Carson. Andre underperformed the ticket here too, but not nearly as badly. The actual CD 7 gave Obama a sixteen point improvement over Bush in 2000 and I would assume the same would happen here as there are only cosmetic changes. With that said, this would have been considered a safe district for Carson, even after the 2010 holocaust.
District 8
Incumbent: Brian Kerns R-Prairieton vs. John Hostettler R-Wadesville
Racial Statistics: 93.4% White
Comments: Kerns lived here but decided to run in CD 4 leaving this district to Hostettler. This district has been called the Bloody Eighth due to it throwing out incumbents. I would assume the same to happen here with Hostettler getting the boot in 2006 but the district reverting to Republicans after Ellsworth gave it up to run for the senate.
District 9
Incumbent: Baron Hill D-Seymour
Racial Statistics: 94.4% White
Comments: I really wish Lee Hamilton would never have retired. He would have kept this district safe. Anyways, the storyline would probably be the same here. Hill would have three close elections with Mike Sodrel (and actually losing in 2004), finally winning a convincing victory in 2008 and then being re-fired in 2010.
Michigan
Interstate IN-MI
Incumbent: Fred Upton R-St Joseph
Racial Statistics: 84.5% White
Comments: None
District 1
Incumbent: Jim Barcia D-Bay City
Racial Statistics: 87.8% White
Comments: Barcia’s moderate voting record would have given him a safe seat here
District 2
Incumbent: Pete Hoekstra R-Holland
Racial Statistics: 87.3% White
Comments: This district has a large dutch population. Therefore, Safe Republican.
District 3
Incumbent: Vern Ehlers R-Grand Rapids
Racial Statistics: 81.8% White
Comments: Much of this turf was once represented by Gerald Ford. Ehlers had a centrist voting record so he was safe here. Upon his retirement, he was replaced by Paulite Justin Amash. I’d assume this district would behave the same way as the actual 3rd.
District 4
Incumbent: Dave Camp R-Midland
Racial Statistics: 93.7% White
Comments: None
District 5
Incumbent: Dale Kildee D-Flint
Racial Statistics: 78.2% White
Comments: None
District 6
Incumbent: John Dingell D-Dearborn vs. Lynn Rivers D-Ann Arbor
Racial Statistics: 81.4% White
Comments: Anyone know why Dingell didn’t retire and defer to Rivers? It seems sort of selfish since he had been in office since before the rocks cooled.
District 7
Incumbent: Nick Smith R-Addison
Racial Statistics: 88.3% White
Comments: This district contains a lot of areas similar to the turf in NW Ohio and NE Indiana making it a rural GOP district. Nonetheless, this district saw constant turnover. I’d assume the storyline would be the same here: Smith retires and is replaced by a moderate republican. He is primaried by a more conservative republican who holds the seat before losing in 2008 and regaining it in 2010.
District 8
Incumbent: Mike Rogers R-Brighton
Racial Statistics: 89.9% White
Comments: He had a few close calls here but he would be safer under this district as the more dem areas of Lansing were put in the 5th and took in more heavily GOP areas in Oakland county.
District 9
Incumbent: Joe Knollenberg R-Bloomfield Township
Racial Statistics: 78.5% White
Comments: This is the only district entirely within Oakland County and a microcosm for the county as a whole as it doesn’t include the mostly republican northern part or the heavily dem minority spillover areas in the SE. I’d assume the same would happen here with it being captured by Gary Peters upon his retirement in 2008 with him narrowly holding on in 2010.
District 10
Incumbent: Dave Bonior D-Mt Clemens
Racial Statistics: 93.6% White
Comments: Technically his home was in the 12th but much of his district was here. Bonior would have had a decent chance here, having survived 1980 and 1994, but decided to retire. Miller has been the only republican to represent Macomb County since the 1950s.
District 11
Open
Racial Statistics: 86.7% White
Comments: This district takes in much more of Wayne County. I’m guessing McCotter would have won initially in 2002 but he would likely have been axed in 06 under this map.
District 12
Incumbent: Sander Levin D-Royal Oak
Racial Statistics: 84.2% White
Comments: Considering how he was already 71 by 2002, Levin should have retired and let Bonior run here. He would have been an effective majority leader.
District 13
Incumbent: Carolyn Kilpatrick D-Detroit
Racial Statistics: 62.5% Black
Comments: None
District 14 John Conyers D-Detroit
Racial Statistics: 62% Black
Comments: I should show you a map sometime of the 1960s Detroit CDs. Conyers district back then now has like 100,000 people living in it.
Wisconsin
Interstate MI-WI
Incumbent: Bart Stupak D-Menominee
Racial Statistics: 92.3% White
Comments: This is a joint MI-WI CD. Anyone sort of feel sorry for Stupak? His son killed himself, and both democrats and republicans hated him after the health care deal. I also heard his net worth is in the negatives. Anyways, despite being much different from the actual MI 1, I’d assume the same would happen here with him retiring and the seat then being won over by Dr Benishek.
District 1
Incumbent: F.J. Sensenbrenner R-Menomonee Falls
Racial Statistics: 93.8% White
Comments: Anyone know why the Milwaukee suburbs are so republican? Especially compared to nearby Chicago. This might be a good explanation: http://verseau.wordpress.com/...
District 2
Incumbent: Tammy Baldwin D-Madison
Racial Statistics: 89.1% White
Comments: None
District 3
Incumbent: Ron Kind D-Lacrosse
Racial Statistics: 96.1% White
Comments: None
District 4 Gerald Kleczka D-Milwaukee vs. Tom Barrett D-Milwaukee
Racial Statistics: 49.1% White, 34% Black
Comments: None
District 5
Incumbent: Tom Petri R-Fond DuLac
Racial Statistics: 94.1% White
Comments: He probably would be even more safer here with loss of more marginal turf to Green and with the district taking in Ozaukee County. This would probably have an R+6 PVI.
District 6
Incumbent: Mark Green R-Green Bay
Racial Statistics: 92.9% White
Comments: Although it loses some territory to the interstate Michigan-Wisconsin district and takes in some territory from the actual CD 6, it would still be a marginal district I’m guessing going dem in 2006 and republican in 2010.
District 7
Incumbent: Dave Obey D-Wausau
Racial Statistics: 95.1% White
Comments: Anyone know why Obey retired? He probably would have held the district for us. Regardless, I would assume the same to happen here with him retiring in 2010 and electing a Republican.
Interstate WI-IL
Incumbent: Paul Ryan R-Janesville
Racial Statistics: 86.6% White
Comments: Ryan reminds me of Greg Marmalard from Animal House. By that I mean a smug SOB you want to punch in the face. Regardless he would be safe here since it expands to take in normally republican McHenry county.
Illinois
District 1
Incumbent: Bob Rush D-Chicago
Racial Statistics: 67.7% Black
Comments: None
District 2
Incumbent: Jesse Jackson Jr D-Chicago
Racial Statistics: 53.4% Black
Comments: None
District 3
Incumbent: Bill Lipinski D-Chicago
Racial Statistics: 57% White
Comments: Storyline would probably be the same with his son replacing him in 2004. Dan sort of reminds me of the other Dan as in Frosty Rosty. Anyone agree?
District 4
Incumbent: Luis Gutierrez D-Chicago
Racial Statistics: 64.4% Hispanic
Comments: Safe
District 5
Incumbent: Rod Blagojevich D-Chicago
Racial Statistics: 65.5% White
Comments: I’d guess the same would happen here. Upon Blago’s run for governor, Rahm would win it and when he was appointed by Obama, the district would be won my Mike Quigley.
District 6
Incumbent: Henry Hyde R-Wooddale
Racial Statistics: 76.3% White
Comments: I never liked Hyde for his disdain for reproductive rights or his attempt to get rid of Bill Clinton when he himself had an affair earlier in his life. Regardless, his ACU rating was “only” 82. The downside of 2006 was that a lot of republican congressman who retired were replaced by even more conservative Republicans. This would have had a close call in 06 I’m guessing but otherwise, this would be a safe republican seat.
District 7
Incumbent: Dan Davis D-Chicago
Racial Statistics: 64.6% Black
Comments: None
District 8
Incumbent: Phil Crane R-Wauconda
Racial Statistics: 77.9% White
Comments: With the loss of the McHenry county portion and the addition of more of Lake County, the same would have happened here with Crane losing in 2004 running eight points behind Bush. If I remember right he had a bout with alcoholism and was rarely seen in his district which probably contributed to his loss. This is a case where subtle changes may have made the difference. Walsh’s residence would now be in the Interstate IL-WI district under this map.
District 9
Incumbent: Jan Schakowsky D-Evanston
Racial Statistics: 62.3% White
Comments: None
District 10
Incumbent: Mark Kirk R-Kenilworth
Racial Statistics: 72.5% White
Comments: The same would have happened here as there are only cosmetic changes to the actual 10th.
District 11
Incumbent: Jerry Weller R-Morris
Racial Statistics: 83.1% White
Comments: None
District 12
Incumbent: Jerry Costello D-Belleville
Racial Statistics: 80.3% White
Comments: None
District 13
Incumbent: Judy Biggert R-Hinsdale
Racial Statistics: 82% White
Comments: None
District 14
Incumbent: Dennis Hastert R-Yorkville
Racial Statistics: 75.5% White
Comments: Anyone know why he didn’t run for minority leader in 06 and then quit halfway through the term? On a map this looks like a heavily Anglo GOP district but it takes in the heavily minority town of Aurora which is why it went dem in 08. However, once Obamamania wore off, this went republican again in 2010.
District 15
Incumbent: Tim Johnson R-Champaign
Racial Statistics: 87.8% White
Comments: None
District 16
Incumbent: Don Manzullo R-Egan
Racial Statistics: 85.6% White
Comments: This used to be John Anderson’s seat.
District 17
Incumbent: Lane Evans D-Rock Island
Racial Statistics: 88.1% White
Comments: This district was drawn to shore up Evans and the fact it still went GOP in 2010 is a testament to how bad a congressman Phil Hare was. This is what probably did him in: http://www.youtube.com/.... BTW, I’ve heard somewhere that Evans only has a few years left to live.
District 18
Incumbent: Roy LaHood R-Peoria
Racial Statistics: 89.2% White
Comments: This is Bob Michel’s old seat.
District 19
Incumbent: David Phelps D-El Dorado vs. John Shimkus R-Collinsville
Racial Statistics: 94.4% White
Comments: David Phelps was a good incumbent for this district and had a centrist voting record but he had the misfortune of being drawn in with Shimkus. I’d assume the same would happen here with Phelps losing and Shimkus having easy re-elections since.
Missouri
Interstate IL-MO
Incumbent: Todd Akin R-Town and Country
Racial Statistics: 92.2% White
Comments: None
District 1
Incumbent: Bill Clay Jr D-St Louis
Racial Statistics: 48.8% White, 46.8% Black
Comments: None
District 2
Incumbent: Kenny Hulshof R-Columbia
Racial Statistics: 92.4% White
Comments: Anyone know how he lost by five points in 1994 and then beat the same guy in 96 even when Clinton carried the district? He was a twenty year incumbent too so IDK what happened. I know he said something like he wishes he paid a million dollars in taxes but that alone shouldn’t hurt you.
District 3
Incumbent: Dick Gephardt D-St Louis
Racial Statistics: 85.3% White
Comments: I really wish he hadn’t retired. He would have been a better speaker than Pelosi.
District 4
Incumbent: Ike Skelton D-Lexington
Racial Statistics: 92.3% White
Comments: The legislature should have done something to shore him up IMO.
District 5
Incumbent: Sam Graves R-Tarkio
Racial Statistics: 92% White
Comments: It takes in more of Jackson County but the county outside of the city itself isn’t that dem so he probably would be OK here, though he might have a few tough re-election bids.
District 6
Incumbent: Jo Ann Emerson R-Cape Girardeau
Racial Statistics: 92.4% White
Comments: None
District 7
Incumbent: Roy Blunt R-Strafford
Racial Statistics: 93.1% White
Comments: Anyone know why he stepped down as Minority Whip?
Kansas
Interstate MO-KS
Racial Statistics: 57.6% White
Incumbent: Karen McCarthy D-Kansas City
Comments: This is a joint MO-KS district. This district changes by losing a lot of Jackson County and taking in heavily democratic Wyandotte County. McCarthy and Cleaver (who replaced her in 2004) would be safe here.
District 1
Incumbent: Todd Tiahrt R-Goddard
Racial Statistics: 79.1% White
Comments: None
District 2
Incumbent: Jim Ryun R-Topeka
Racial Statistics: 86.5% White
Comments: Since this district takes in more rural turf than the actual CD 2, he may have survived 2006 here.
District 3
Incumbent: Dennis Moore D-Lenexa
Racial Statistics: 89% White
Comments: Although the district still contains Lawrence it loses Wyandotte County and takes in more rural areas. Moore might have been OK at first but this district definitely would have gone republican in 2010. Him retiring and then running his wife was disingenuous IMO.
Interstate KS-NE
Incumbent: Jerry Moran R-Hays
Racial Statistics: 86.3% White
Comments: None
Nebraska
District 1
Incumbent: Tom Osborne R-Lemoyne
Racial Statistics: 90.5% White
Comments: None
District 2
Incumbent: Doug Bereuter R-Cedar Bluffs
Racial Statistics: 91.2% White
Comments: None
Iowa
Interstate NE-IA:
Incumbent: Lee Terry R-Omaha vs. Leonard Boswell D-Davis City
Racial Statistics: 83.7% White
Comments: This is a joint NE-IA District. The district does lose most of the republican suburbs of Omaha but it also takes in some conservative areas of rural SW Iowa. Terry I think had a tough re-election race in 08 and I would assume he would here too. But he probably would have been OK here. I’m guessing Boswell under this map would have done the same thing he actually did and carpetbag to the DM District.
District 1
Incumbent: Jim Leach R-Davenport vs. Jim Nussle R-Manchester
Racial Statistics: 92.6% White
Comments: The same probably would have happened with Leach running in the 2nd and Nussle giving the seat up to run for governor in 2006. I’m not sure if Nussle would have lost had he ran here in 06. On one hand he lost the district by a huge margin in his run for governor but on the other hand Braley only won by ten points.
District 2
No Incumbent
Racial Statistics: 92.9% White
Comments: Leach probably would have run here as it contained much of the area he had already represented. Since he had a centrist voting record I was surprised he didn’t get a primary challenge since the Iowa Republican party is run by a lot of hard-right types (think Bob VanderPlaats, Steve King etc).
District 3
Incumbent: Greg Ganske R-Des Moines
Racial Statistics: 89.9% White
Comments: This was my home district growing up. My guess is that Boswell would carpetbag here but would never be completely safe as the residents here would want to be represented by someone actually from the area.
District 4
Incumbent: Tom Latham R-Alexander
Racial Statistics: 93.5% White
Comments: This looks more like the district he represented in the 90s and would be a lot safer taking in NW Iowa (including ultraconservative Sioux County). As a plus, this would ensure that Steve King would still be a state senator.
Minnesota
Interstate: IA-MN
Incumbent: Gil Gutknecht R-Rochester
Racial Statistics: 93.6% White
Comments: I would assume the same would happen here. Gutknecht was probably too conservative for his district and lost to Tim Walz. Likewise, I would expect Walz to have a close call in 2010 here.
District 1
Incumbent: Jim Oberstar D-Chisholm
Racial Statistics: 92.9% White
Comments: With the district having lost most of the conservative areas and taking in more of northern Minnesota, he probably would have survived. Cravaack’s residence would be in the 6th under this map.
District 2
Incumbent: Mark Kennedy R-Watertown
Racial Statistics: 91.9% White
Comments: Anyone know why Kennedy ran in the 6th instead?
District 3
Incumbent: Jim Ramstad R-Minnetonka
Racial Statistics: 88.6% White
Comments: None
District 4
Incumbent: Betty McCollum D-North St Paul
Racial Statistics: 78.7% White
Comments: None
District 5
Incumbent: Martin Sabo D-Minneapolis
Racial Statistics: 72.4% White
Comments: None
District 6
Incumbent: Bill Luther D-Stillwater
Racial Statistics: 95.6% White
Comments: anyone know why he ran in CD 2 instead?
MN-SD
Incumbent: Collin Peterson D-Detroit Lakes
Racial Statistics: 93.7% White
Comments: None
Interstate SD-ND
Incumbent: John Thune R-Pierre
Racial Statistics: 87.8% White
Comments: IIRC, the former governor of South Dakota ran here upon Thune’s running for the U.S. Senate and then resigned after he got a DUI. Then Stephanie Herseth ran against Larry Diedrich and won. Under this map, Herseth’s residence would be in the MN-SD district so Diedrich would likely be a congressman right now.
Interstate ND-MT
Incumbent: Earl Pomeroy D-Valley City
Racial Statistics: 89.8% White
Comments: The district loses some of ND and takes in some part of Eastern MT (not on screen). It might have swung the outcome of the 02 race. Had he won in 02 he definitely would have lost in 2010 under this map.