This week, we get to fuck up Chris Christie's shit.
Previous states, in publishing order: North Dakota, South Dakota, Alaska, Delaware, Maine, New Hampshire, Hawaii, Idaho, Nebraska, West Virginia, New Mexico, Nevada, Utah, Kansas, West Virginia, Mississippi, Iowa, Connecticut, Oklahoma, Oregon, Kentucky, South Carolina, Louisiana, Alabama, Colorado, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Maryland, Missouri, Tennessee, Arizona, Indiana, Massachusetts, Washington, Virginia
Here is the Garden State, in all its glory:
1st District (blue): Scott Garrett (R-Wantage Township). Warren and Sussex Counties, plus most of Passaic County. 56.7% McCain. Safe R.
2d District (green): Bill Pascrell (D-Paterson). Paterson, Paramus, Ridgewood, and Mahwah. 56.1% Obama. Safe D.
3d District (purple): Open. Hackensack, Teaneck, Lodi, and East Rutherford. 59.1% Obama. Former congressman Steve Rothman (D-Englewood) lost his seat after the 2010 redistricting when he was forced into Pascrell's district. He could return to Congress in this new district, if he wanted. Safe D no matter who the nominees are.
4th District (red): Albio Sires (D-West New York). Passaic, Lyndhurst, Kearny, Secaucus, West New York, and Fort Lee. 64.6% Obama. 58.8% Hispanic/Asian district. Safe D.
5th District (gold): Open. Union City, Hoboken, Jersey City, and Bayonne. 75.7% Obama. 67% racial clusterfuck. Safe D.
6th District (teal): Donald Payne, Jr. (D-Newark). Newark, East Orange, Irvington, and Union. 87.9% Obama. 54.9% Black majority. Safe D.
7th District (dark gray): Open. Elizabeth, Linden, Cranford, Plainfield, and Summit. 63.5% Obama. 53.6% racial clusterfuck. Safe D.
8th District (slate blue): Open. Nutley, Monclair, Orange, West Orange, Livingston, and Chatham. 60% Obama. Safe D.
9th District (cyan): Rodney Frelinghuysen (R-Morristown). Parsippany, Rockaway, Morristown, and Bernardsville. 53.7% McCain. Safe R.
10th District (deep pink): Leonard Lance (R-Clinton Township). Warren, Lebanon, Flemington, and Lawrenceville. 52% Obama. Lance will definitely be unhappy running here. Tossup.
11th District (chartreuse): Open. Metuchen, Edison, New Brunswick, and Plainsboro. 62.8% Obama. 55.4% racial clusterfuck. Safe D.
12th District (cornflower blue): Frank Pallone (D-Long Branch). Carteret, Perth Amboy, Sayreville, Middletown, and Asbury Park. 55.2% Obama. Lean D.
13th District (dark salmon): Open. Freehold, Lakewood, and Neptune. 55.4% McCain. Safe R.
14th District (olive): Bonnie Watson Coleman (D-Ewing Township) and Chris Smith (R-Hamilton Township). Trenton, Princeton, and East Brunswick. 62% Obama. Smith has nowhere to go but out. Safe D.
15th District (dark orange): Tom MacArthur (R-Toms River). Most of Ocean County, including Toms River and Point Pleasant. 57.4% McCain--the reddest district in the state. Safe R.
16th District (lime): Open. All of Burlington County, with a bit of Mercer and Camden Counties. Fort Dix is here. 58.4% Obama. Safe D.
17th District (dark slate blue): Donald Norcross (D-Camden). Most of Camden County. Pretty much the Philadelphia suburbs. 67.7% Obama. Safe D.
18th District (yellow): Open. Glassboro, Salem, and Bridgeton. 56.5% Obama. Lean D.
19th District (yellow green): Frank LoBiondo (R-Ventnor City). Atlantic City, Millville, and Cape May. 54.8% McCain. Safe R.
21 Electoral Votes: If Chris Christie was the Republican nominee... Hillary would still wipe the floor with him in this state. Safe D.
CUBE ROOT HOUSE (338 required for majority)
States counted: AK, AL, AR, AZ, CO, CT, DE, HI, IA, ID, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, ME, MN, MO, MS, MT, ND, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NV, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TN, UT, VA, VT, WA, WI, WV, WY
Best case scenario
Safe D: 109 (added NJ-2, NJ-3, NJ-4, NJ-5, NJ-6, NJ-7, NJ-8, NJ-11, NJ-14, NJ-16, NJ-17)
Lean D: 56 (added NJ-12, NJ-18)
Tossup: 22 (added NJ-10)
Lean R: 7
Safe R: 116 (added NJ-1, NJ-9, NJ-13, NJ-15, NJ-19)
Total: 165 D, 22 Toss, 123 R
Worst case scenario
Safe D: 105 (added NJ-2, NJ-3, NJ-4, NJ-5, NJ-6, NJ-7, NJ-8, NJ-11, NJ-14, NJ-16, NJ-17)
Lean D: 35 (added NJ-12, NJ-18)
Tossup: 37 (added NJ-10)
Lean R: 11
Safe R: 122 (added NJ-1, NJ-9, NJ-13, NJ-15, NJ-19)
Total: 140 D, 37 Toss, 133 R
CUBE ROOT ELECTORAL COLLEGE (390 required for presidency)
States counted: AK, AL, AR, AZ, CO, CT, DE, HI, IA, ID, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, ME, MN, MO, MS, MT, ND, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NV, OK, OR, RI, SC, SD, TN, UT, VA, VT, WA, WI, WV, WY
Best case scenario
Safe D: CT (10), DE (4), HI (5), MA (16), MD (15), ME (4), NJ (21), OR (10), RI (4), VT (3), WA (17) = 109
Lean D: IA (9), ME (1), MN (14), NE (1), NH (5), NM (7), NV (8), VA (20), WI (14) = 79
Tossup: CO (13), MO (15), NE (1) = 29
Lean R: AZ (16), IN (16), MT (4), SC (12) = 48
Safe R: AK (4), AL (12), AR (8), ID (5), KS (8), KY (12), LA (12), MS (9), ND (4), NE (4), OK (10), SD (4), TN (16), UT (8), WV (6), WY (3) = 125
Total: 188 D, 29 Toss, 173 R
Worst case scenario
Safe D: CT (10), DE (4), HI (5), MA (16), MD (15), ME (4), NJ (21), OR (10), RI (4), VT (3), WA (17) = 109
Lean D: ME (1), MN (14), NE (1), NH (5), NM (7), WI (14) = 42
Tossup: CO (13), IA (9), MO (15), NV (8), VA (20) = 65
Lean R: AZ (16), IN (16), MT (4), NE (1), SC (12) = 49
Safe R: AK (4), AL (12), AR (8), ID (5), KS (8), KY (12), LA (12), MS (9), ND (4), NE (4), OK (10), SD (4), TN (16), UT (8), WV (6), WY (3) = 125
Total: 151 D, 65 Toss, 174 R