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U.S. Representative Michael Grimm (R-NY) speaks at a news conference outside the Brooklyn Federal Courthouse in the Brooklyn Borough of New York April 28, 2014. Grimm, a Republican U.S. congressman from New York, was arrested Monday morning by FBI agents following a federal criminal investigation into his campaign finances, a person familiar with the matter said. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid (UNITED STATES - Tags: POLITICS CRIME LAW) - RTR3MZ98
As the Daily Kos Elections crew wrote in this morning's digest, the filing deadline for a Republican to mount a primary challenge to indicted GOP congressman Michael Grimm passed us by a couple of weeks ago. With that deadline passed, the only way Grimm's name won't be on the November congressional ballot is if two things happen: First, the GOP would have to nominate him to another office, like the State Supreme Court, and second, he would have to accept the nomination. Short of that, he's on the ballot. Grimm could resign, but while that would create a special election, it would only be to fill the remainder of his term; there would still be an election for the next term, and he would still be the GOP nominee.

On balance, the situation is good news for Democrats aiming to win Grimm's seat, which President Obama carried with 52 percent of the vote in 2012. But Grimm isn't throwing in the towel, and neither are his fellow Republicans.

John Antoniello, the Staten Island Republican chairman, said he spoke to Mr. Grimm on Friday, and Mr. Grimm said he definitely planned to continue his campaign.

“He’s got my complete support, and I’m sure the party’s also,” Mr. Antoniello said on Sunday night.

Guy V. Molinari, the former Staten Island borough president and congressman who has been a mentor to Mr. Grimm, said he was convinced Mr. Grimm was innocent.

“My support is 100 percent,” Mr. Molinari told The Staten Island Advance. “We are going to run and we are going to win.”

But as tough as Grimm's campaign is going to be with an indictment hanging over his head, staying in the U.S. House may be less of a concern than keeping himself out of the big house. He faces 20 counts, including both fraud and perjury. Among the allegations: That Grimm underreported income at his Manhattan restaurant in part by paying his employees—some of whom were undocumented—in cash. And he might face more before it's all said and done:
Loretta E. Lynch, the United States attorney in Brooklyn, said at a news conference that there was a “larger investigation that is still continuing” into Mr. Grimm, but did not specify its nature. She would not explain how an inquiry into possible campaign fraud led to the tax-fraud charges, saying only that “whenever there’s an investigation into someone’s business activities it is usually very broad-reaching.”
The good news for Grimm is that he's no longer in federal custody—he's out on bail, using his home as collateral. But the fact that that's the good news is a pretty good indicator of the fix he's in.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Mon Apr 28, 2014 at 12:35 PM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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