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Leading Off:

TX-Gov: Look out! PPP's new numbers on GOP Gov. Rick Perry's re-election chances are grim indeed for the incumbent. His job approval stands at an abysmal 41-54 and his re-elects are a horrific 31-62! I guess that happens when you embarrass yourself before a national audience after hanging on to the governor's mansion for a dozen years. Even among Republican primary voters, 47 percent want someone else versus only 41 percent who want Perry as their standard-bearer once more.

And in an actual head-to-head versus AG Greg Abbott, things are even worse: Perry has a slim 41-38 lead, but as Tom Jensen points out, Abbott's name rec is only 59 percent. I'm not sure how Perry can recover from that: Abbott has raised tons of money (thanks to Texas's virtual lack of state contribution limits, and big business preferring him as their paisan to the spent Perry), and indeed, he leads 55-33 among those who have an opinion of him, whether positive or negative. But interestingly, "more conservative" voters prefer Perry, which gives me hope that he can ride extremist enthusiasm to another nomination.

And we really do have to root for Perry here. Take a look at how he performs against a variety of potential Democratic opponents, compared to Abbott's far better showing against the same array:

Democrat Perry Abbott
2010 nominee Bill White 44-47 46-39
San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro 47-42 46-36
State Senator Wendy Davis 47-41 46-34
Houston Mayor Annise Parker 47-40 47-35
Note that Perry actually loses to Parker's predecessor, Bill White, who had the misfortune of being the right candidate running in the wrong year. Would he actually be willing to make another go of it? I tend to doubt it, because he'd have to bank on Perry as his opponent, since even White would be a steep underdog to Abbott—and even against Perry, getting to 50%+1 is no easy task.

On top of that, Castro's already ruled himself out and Davis has largely confirmed she'll seek re-election to her Senate seat. (I don't think anyone's thought to ask Parker, though I can't imagine she's interested.) But regardless of who our nominee is, I'm definitely wishing hard for the nastiest possible GOP primary, topped with a Rick Perry cherry at the end.

Senate:

GA-Sen: That was quick: Ex-Gov. Sonny Perdue is probably living the good life, because just days after first being mentioned as a possible successor to retiring Sen. Saxby Chambliss, he says he's not interested in joining the GOP field. And state House Speaker David Ralston is of the same mind: Asked if he might run, Ralston retorted: "Why would I want the demotion?"

IA-Sen: We should only get this lucky, right? Lunatic GOP Rep. Steve King, who had openly mooted a Senate run even before Tom Harkin announced his retirement, confirms that he's still very much interested—and indeed, Politico reports that nameless "sources close to King" say they "would be surprised if he passes." And if you want a tea leaf, here's a fragrant one:

King acknowledged Mourdock's and Akin's slip-ups but pointed to Republican losses by Rep. Rick Berg in North Dakota, Rep. Denny Rehberg in Montana and Mitt Romney, saying they weren't "vocal conservatives."

"There were a lot of conservatives who stayed home and were not energized," King said.

Hey, maybe both wings of the party suck, did you ever consider that? In any event, King is also quoted on the record puffing out his chest over his victory in his re-election fight last year against Democrat Christie Vilsack, but the fact is, his margin of victory (53-45) was identical to Mitt Romney's, so it's not like King did anything special. But don't tell him that!

P.S. Republican Senate Minority Leader Bill Dix says he won't run for Senate, nor will he run for IA-01, which may become open if Dem Rep. Bruce Braley tries for a promotion.

MA-Sen: As expected, Sen. John Kerry breezed through his Senate confirmation vote on Tuesday, securing the post of Secretary of State by a 94-3 margin. (Only Republicans John Cornyn, Ted "Calgary" Cruz, and Jim Inhofe voted against.) Once Kerry officially resigns from the Senate on Friday, Gov. Deval Patrick will appoint a temporary placeholder while would-be successors duke it out in the upcoming special election (primary: April 30; general: June 25).

And just who might those candidates be? The only declared Democrat is still Rep. Ed Markey, and if he's been waiting for Kerry's confirmation to finally unleash his campaign... well, he's already past time, but he better come out in full force over the next 48 hours. (His campaign website is still just a splash page, and he's only sent out four press releases in the month-plus since he got into the race.) Meanwhile, local station WCVB reports that Rep. Stephen Lynch will indeed enter the race, on Thursday. Of course, last Friday, the Boston Globe had to retract a report that Lynch was about to join the campaign—after Lynch himself contradicted them, so we'll see.

On the GOP side, Sen. Scott "bqhatevwr" Brown still hasn't addressed his bizarre tweeting from Friday night, nor has he said whether or not he'll run. If not Brown, former state Sen. Richard Tisei, who blew what appeared to be a sure thing against Rep. John Tierney in MA-06 last year, says he might make a bid, but he sounds a lot more interested in seeking a rematch. Former Lt. Gov. Kerry Healey is also not ruling it out, but the same Boston Globe report says that ex-Gov. Bill Weld is "highly unlikely" to enter the race.

(As a final aside, can I just say how maddening it is that after all that effort—money, resources, volunteering—devoted to helping Elizabeth Warren oust Scott Brown, Obama and Kerry have put us right back in the same, if not worse, position? Kerry was not the only well-qualified person for the job; certainly the president concluded that Susan Rice was not the only person capable of serving as Secretary of State. There are always other considerations, and ignoring electoral ones is foolish.)

Gubernatorial:

LA-Gov: Louisiana's next gubernatorial election isn't until 2015, but Republicans are already queuing up to express their interest. The latest names belong to state Sen. Gerald Long (a distant cousin of the legendary Huey Long) and Lt. Gen Russel Honoré, who made a name for himself during the response to Hurricane Katrina. The link is very thin, so it's hard to gauge Honoré's interest, but Long apparently says he will "probably" run.

PA-Gov: If GOP Gov. Tom Corbett hopes his lawsuit against the NCAA over their sanctions against Penn State thanks to the Jerry Sandusky scandal was going to help in the polls, well... it ain't. Quinnipiac's newest survey shows the long-suffering governor dropping to a 36-42 job approval rating, back down from the slight bump to 40-38 he saw in November. Meanwhile, his re-elects stand at a pitiful 31-51, the first time Quinnipiac's asked that question.

And here's the kicker: Even though a majority think the Penn State penalties were "too severe," and a plurality support's Corbett's suit, only 26 percent say they approve of Corbett's handling of the entire situation, versus 50 disapproving. Interestingly, there are also crosstabs on "Penn State households": 29 percent say they or a family member is a graduate of the school, and another 7 percent say they are currently attending. This sub-group tends to be more supportive of the university, of course, but they have an even more negative view of Corbett's treatment of the matter, disapproving by a 23-59 margin.

RI-Gov: Here's a new name in the mix: Ex-Rep. Bob Weygand, who served in the House for two terms in the late `90s before making an unsuccessful Senate run in 2000, says he's looking at a possible gubernatorial bid. And the man who beat Weygand over a decade ago? None other than current Gov. Lincoln Chafee, who at the time was a Republican but is now an independent and has been openly talking about joining the Democratic Party.

For his part, Weygand is anti-choice, which could pose a problem in a Dem primary, though the guy who succeeded him in the House, Rep. Jim Langevin, is also generally known as an abortion opponent, so it may not be a total dealbreaker. The bigger problem is that Weygand's been out of office a long time and a lot of heavy hitters seem interested in the race, so he might not have much room to maneuver. Indeed, he turned down a run in 2010, so this time might not be much different.

VA-Gov: This is pretty amazing, I think, but not in the way Ken Cuccinelli is probably hoping for. Virginia's true believer movement conservative attorney general is now—yeah, I can scarcely believe it myself—trying to moderate his image on his signature issue, abortion:

When a Senate panel on Monday killed a bill to soften the state's controversial ultrasound-before-abortion law, the move disappointed someone besides the usual Democratic suspects: Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli II.

One of the state's most outspoken abortion foes, Cuccinelli (R) had dispatched his top deputy last week to a Democratic state senator's office to say that he supported the senator's legislation to make the ultrasound mandated by last year's law optional.

So here's the thing. Cuccinelli is such a dyed-in-the-wool wingnut that any attempts he might make to move to the center on any topic (but especially one as hot as abortion) come off looking about as authentic as Harold Ford in a hunting cap. So not only will no one buy his conversion, but he'll look so weak and nakedly expedient for even trying it. What's more, he'll also dispirit the tea partiers who form the most ardent part of his base. Indeed, one activist called it "very disturbing" and a "big letdown" to learn that the Kooch had tried to weaken the ultrasound law, particularly by acting in cahoots with a Democratic senator (Ralph Northam).

This all suggests to me a campaign whose internal polling shows a difficult path to victory and is flailing as a result. Cuccinelli really is damned either way, though: If he goes back to showing his true colors, he'll look like the extremist he is, and if he continues to try to revise his public profile, he'll look like a fraud. This is a good problem to have—if you're Terry McAuliffe.

Of course, Cuccinelli can't help himself. Over the weekend, he was busy expounding on how Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia is not conservative enough:

"And really the way to fight back, given the governmental structure we have, the primary way is to get good judges who don't accept what is wrong as right after a while," Cuccinelli said, according to a video clip of the discussion. "Justice Scalia is in this category: 'Well, we've been doing it wrong for a while, so now it's part of the Constitution.' I don't buy that. I don't buy that. And that needs to be reflected in the judges selected by the president, not this president, but the president generally, and approved by the Senate. They need to take that a lot more seriously than they do."
House:

CA-17: Well whaddya know. It's super-rare for President Obama to make endorsements, and it's also super-early in the cycle, but the POTUS just gave his formal support to California Rep. Mike Honda. There can be only one explanation for this: Obama is sending a signal to one-time Commerce Dept. official Ro Khanna to back off any potential plans to challenge Honda in the Democratic primary—plans we discussed at length just a week ago. Khanna declined to comment in response, but he plays a high-powered gamed: With friends like Nancy Pelosi and Jerry Brown, who've hosted fundraisers for him, it would be quite something if he'd try to pit those allies against the president. And if he did, I can't imagine they'd be eager to stand with him.

In addition, the initial report about the possibility of Khanna going up against Honda (which Khanna did not deny) also suggested that Obama might appoint Honda to some administration post or another, as a way to open up the seat. But if the president is backing the incumbent for re-election, that seems unlikely.

IL-02: State Sen. Toi Hutchinson just received the endorsement of a top local official who had also considered running in the Jesse Jackson, Jr. special election: Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle. Most interesting to me is that Preckwinkle says she "felt compelled" to get behind Hutchinson because of ex-Rep. Debbie Halvorson's lead in the polls, and pegged her as "the most conservative candidate running and was one of the most conservative Democratic members of Congress in all of Illinois." Indeed, it seems like our fears of Halvorson sneaking through a split field might well come to pass.

NY-11: NYC Councilman Domenic Recchia is dropping his bid for Brooklyn borough president and will reportedly instead seek to challenge GOP Rep. Mike Grimm next year. Recchia is term-limited and had been looking for an escape hatch; assuming he goes through with it, this is actually his third-choice race (he previously abandoned a bid for city comptroller).

Recchia's name has come up in the past for this seat, but he's always turned down the opportunity, though this time, he might have company in the Democratic primary if ex-Rep. Mike McMahon makes a comeback attempt. And since McMahon is from Staten Island (which makes up the bulk of the district), while Recchia is from the Brooklyn corner, McMahon would likely be favored.

OH-07: This is super-unexpected: Ex-Rep. John Boccieri, who served a single term before getting walloped in the 2010 GOP wave, has filed paperwork for a comeback attempt—but not against the guy who unseated him, Jim Renacci. Instead, Boccieri is looking at the 7th District, home of GOP Rep. Bob Gibbs, where he considered running last cycle as well. (Boccieri's old 16th District was actually split almost exactly in half between Renacci's new 16th and Gibbs' 7th.)

Boccieri isn't committing to a run, though, saying, "I want to take a long hard look at it this coming year and see how the political landscape shapes up" and adding that he's "looking at all my options." Indeed, in a giant rundown of possible candidates for every statewide office, the Cleveland Plain Dealer suggested Boccieri could make a bid for Auditor or Secretary of State. (Incidentally, the same piece also suggested Dem ex-Rep. Charlie Wilson for Treasurer.)

But you have to wonder why Boccieri would prefer to take his chances in a mid-term year, when Democratic turnout is typically weaker than in presidential years. No matter what, though, it'll be tough sledding: The 7th was gerrymandered very well by the GOP and went for Romney by a 54-44 margin. Few Democrats hold districts that red, and it would take quite an effort by Boccieri to prevail. (Indeed, it's not like Gibbs has shown up on many Democratic target lists.) But it's at least interesting that such a top-tier name is even thinking about giving it a try.

P.S. Presumably this also rules out a comeback effort from Dem ex-Rep. Zack Space, the guy Gibbs beat in 2010.

SC-01: The filing deadline for the special election to replace now-Sen. Tim Scott was on Monday, and Ballotpedia has a full list of all the candidates. But I liked our own RBH's summation much better:

Republican (16)

Keith Blandford: Libertarian nominee in SC-01 in 2010/2012, might be the Libertarian nominee but I don't think he can be their nominee when he loses this primary
Curtis Bostic: former Charleston County Councilman, lost in 2008 to Vic Rawl
Ric Bryant: Some Dude
Larry Grooms: State Senator from Bonneau (Lake Moultrie)
Jonathan Hoffman: former White House Director of Border Security Policy
Jeff King: Some Dude
John Kuhn: former State Senator (lost primary in 2004 to Chip Campsen)
Tim Larkin: Afghan War Vet
Chip Limehouse: Charleston State Representative
Peter McCoy: Charleston State Representative
Elizabeth Moffly: Businesswoman / failed candidate for State Superintendent of Education
Ray Nash: former Dorchester County Sheriff
Andy Patrick: Hilton Head Island State Representative
Shawn Pinkston: Iraq War Vet/Attorney
Mark Sanford: Noted hiker
Teddy Turner: Son of Ted Turner

Democratic (3)

Elizabeth Colbert Busch: Her brother is on TV
Ben Frasier: Making his 13th run for Congress, lost in the primary 11 times, make it past Robert Burton in 2010 to lose 65-29 to Tim Scott
Martin Skelly: Businessman

"Noted hiker"—LOL. In any event, primaries will take place on March 19, with a runoff scheduled for April 2 if no one clears 50 percent in the first round. The general is set for May 7.

Grab Bag:

Electoral College: She's dead, Jim: The Virginia state Senate committee responsible for the GOP's electoral college-rigging bill has shelved it indefinitely, on a bipartisan 11-4 vote. And it looks like Republicans in three other states have gotten cold feet over the scheme that's already been pronounced dead in Florida. In Ohio, Gov. John Kasich and leaders of both chambers of the legislature say they are "not pursuing" such plans, while in Wisconsin, Gov. Scott Walker says he as a "real concern" about any proposed changes. And one powerful Michigan Republican, state Senate Majority Leader Randy Richardville, is also expressing reservations.

Speaking of how his state awards electoral votes, Richardville said on Tuesday: "I don't know that it's broken, so I don't know that I want to fix it" and added that taking up a proposed bill is "not on our agenda." Meanwhile, Walker hasn't formally said no, but he acknowledged that implementing such a system would end Wisconsin's desirable swing state status. As for Ohio, it would be pretty suicidal for the GOP to alter things there, since it's almost impossible to imagine a Republican winning the White House without all of the Buckeye State's electoral votes, so sentiments there are unsurprising.

But it's never over until its over with the GOP, so don't pop any champagne just yet. So far, though, these are positive signs.

Votes: Well, the Senate finally got around to voting on the Hurricane Sandy relief bill on Monday, three months after the deadly storm ravaged the east coast. The measure passed 62-36, with all Democrats voting in favor, joined by just nine Republicans:

Lamar Alexander (TN)
Thad Cochran (MS)
Susan Collins (ME)
Dean Heller (NV)
John Hoeven (ND)
Lisa Murkowski (AK)
Richard Shelby (AL)
David Vitter (LA)
Roger Wicker (MS)

Several of these "ayes" come from senators in storm-ravaged states like AL, MS, and especially LA (it would have made national headlines had Vitter voted nay), with what passes for a few quasi-moderates (Collins, Heller, Murkowski) thrown in. But a whole bunch of Republicans from blue-leaning or swingish states voted against, including:

Kelly Ayotte (NH)
Chuck Grassley (IA)
Ron Johnson (WI)
Mark Kirk (IL)
Rob Portman (OH)
Marco Rubio (FL)
Pat Toomey (PA)

Kirk's vote strikes me as the most amazing. I mean, really? Some "moderate" he is. Oh, and if you were wondering whether Saxby Chambliss might start acting more reasonable now that he's announced his retirement, the answer is "no," just like his vote.

P.S. Democratic operative Eric Koch took to Twitter following the vote and went on a righteous tear, ripping into Republican hypocrites who had begged for disaster relief when their own states were in need. It includes guys like Dan Coats, who sought help when tornados struck Indiana, and Grassley, who's been in office for decades and has ask for federal aid funds on many occasions.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 05:00 AM PST.

Also republished by CenTex Kossacks and Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Maybe Jindal is right -- Republican voters are (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    desert rain, Pinto Pony, MichaelNY

    tired of the Party of Stupid.  Too bad for Rick Perry. Can Michele Bachmann be far behind?

    LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

    by dinotrac on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 06:08:56 AM PST

  •  Julian Castro is running....where do (8+ / 0-)

    I send my campaign contribution.  It is time Texas had a decent governor, it has been a long time since Ann Richards.

  •  Perry's State of the (4+ / 0-)

    State address sounded a bit like a farewell (see Paul Burka's take). But who knows? This isn't the first time he's had "grim" numbers like that.

    We'd better hope someone like Castro runs and gets the full support of national Democrats. Abbott Makes Perry look like Ann Richards.

    Grew a mustache and a mullet / Got a job at Chick-Fil-A

    by cardinal on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 06:18:33 AM PST

    •  I think this time it's different for Perry (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      cardinal, Aquarius40, Odysseus, madhaus

      A lot of people were never with him.

      Some people turned against him because of his breathtaking corruption - anyone who followed government in Texas closely had to realize that this is a hollow and deeply morally corrupt man.  

      Then he lost some conservative ethno-nationalist Anglos when he embraced deferred removal and conceded that Mexican immigrants are, well, just barely human.  That accounts for a fair number of voters who actually pay attention, and those issues alone might have put his career at risk.

      But nobody recovers from being a public laughingstock.  He was a non-stop joke during the Presidential primaries.  Not only did he soar and then crash suddenly, but even non-engaged low-information voters saw him flounder - repeatedly - in the debates. You can be an incompetent, corrupt, venal prick and keep getting elected in Texas, but your political career is over when everyone thinks you're a joke.

      “If the misery of the poor be caused not by the laws of nature, but by our institutions, great is our sin.” Charles Darwin

      by ivorybill on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 06:58:17 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  my fear (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ivorybill

        is that his base in texas will feel he was unjustly persecuted in the national race, and will pat him on his hair and welcome him home to be governor again.

        you can make fun of your little brother, but nobody else gets to, right?

        If only Michael Phelps hadn't smoked that pot...imagine what he could have accomplished with motivation and good lung capacity.

        by papa monzano on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 07:04:46 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  true... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Christopher Walker

          You may well be right.  

          I do think that really conspicuous dramatic failure tends to soften the base a bit though.  There are still lots of folks on Sarah Palin's various social media sites, but they are starting to drift away. Rick Santorum is no longer getting much attention or love.  Remember Rudy Giuliani's time in the light?  Former mayor of NYC, but he spent $80,000,000 for one electoral vote?  Who invites him on talk shows now? Who's going to elect him to anything?

          Sometimes you get one bite at the apple, and you can keep chewing for a decade or two... but it's hard to recover from a real public thrashing and it's hard to see that primary as anything but a thrashing.

          But Texas is full of surprises.  He could come back. If he were clever, he would play up that aw shucks rascally homeboy persona and turn this into a fight against the rest of the country.  But that's always been his schtick and that might work better if it were an image retooling other than the same old bullshit.  

          “If the misery of the poor be caused not by the laws of nature, but by our institutions, great is our sin.” Charles Darwin

          by ivorybill on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 07:12:53 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  yep (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            ivorybill
            play up that aw shucks rascally homeboy persona and turn this into a fight against the rest of the country.  
            that's the only light I can see in that tunnel. It may be past time to play that hand again, though. Here's hoping you're right. I'm sick of waiting for scoundrels to get bored and calling it a win.

            If only Michael Phelps hadn't smoked that pot...imagine what he could have accomplished with motivation and good lung capacity.

            by papa monzano on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 07:17:26 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

      •  It will be interesting to see .... (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ivorybill, MichaelNY, Nicci August

        .... the impact of his Presidential run.  You're right that perhaps the hardest thing to recover from in politics is being seen as an unmitigated dumbass -- and his Presidential campaign really was a non-stop blooper reel.

    •  agreed (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, cardinal, Nicci August

      please not abbott.

      damn, i wish we had bill white.

      If only Michael Phelps hadn't smoked that pot...imagine what he could have accomplished with motivation and good lung capacity.

      by papa monzano on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 07:03:21 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  I wonder if some (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Remediator

    of those Perry numbers are also an early indication of the demographic tipping point about to occur in Texas that will flip it from red to blue.

  •  Gov Perry wants to use state surplus (5+ / 0-)

    For more tax cuts and use "rainy fund acct" to build infrastructure

    What an super duper idea

    •  Building infrastructure is good for job creation (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      balancedscales, MichaelNY

      but the funding source is questionable. Typical of the GOP-even when they stumble on something good they find a way to stink it up.

      Filibuster reform now. No more Gentleman's agreements.

      by bear83 on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 06:32:53 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  rainy day (5+ / 0-)

        This started out as 1billion from the rainy day fund for a Water Bank to fund water conservation projects (the "damn, it's never going to rain again" fund). Now David Dewhurst is asking for 2 billion. And then Perry asked for 3.2 billion.

        I'm of the opinion that if David Dewhurst says "there's no other option" you have probably had your options reduced to "screw yourself"...which makes me wonder which Perry/Dewhurst crony is standing in the spot where that money will flow? There is no way Goodhair uses that money for the right reasons. We gutted education and health programs while renting him a mansion with a 600k pricetag.

        http://stateimpact.npr.org/...

        If only Michael Phelps hadn't smoked that pot...imagine what he could have accomplished with motivation and good lung capacity.

        by papa monzano on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 07:02:26 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  Shooting ourselves in the foot (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Paleo, MichaelNY, charliehall2, madhaus

    by appointing sitting Senators to the cabinet - it's a real weakness of Obama's.

    (As a final aside, can I just say how maddening it is that after all that effort—money, resources, volunteering—devoted to helping Elizabeth Warren oust Scott Brown, Obama and Kerry have put us right back in the same, if not worse, position? Kerry was not the only well-qualified person for the job; certainly the president concluded that Susan Rice was not the only person capable of serving as Secretary of Defense. There are always other considerations, and ignoring electoral ones is foolish.)
    Unfortunately, he may not be done. There's a passel of cabinet positions yet to be filled. I wonder if Ron Kirk would like to be Secretary of Transportaion.

    Filibuster reform now. No more Gentleman's agreements.

    by bear83 on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 06:30:37 AM PST

  •  Good hair is not enough (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Remediator, JBraden

    good bye romney

    adios perry

    www.tapestryofbronze.com

    by chloris creator on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 06:38:33 AM PST

  •  Some of those "No" votes on Sandy relief ... (7+ / 0-)

    ... need to be remembered -- the next time, for example, there is flooding or drought in Iowa or Illinois, a hurricaine in Florida, or an ice storm in New Hampshire.  No, I'm not saying remembered in terms of withholding future aid, as that's hurting the wrong people.  I'm talking about reminding voters of this in November.  While I'm skeptical this would really have political legs, I would like to see some of them try to explain themselves.

  •  Why Perry Is In Trouble (4+ / 0-)

    Three reasons:

    1)Demographics are tilting against the Pubbies
    2)Voters are tired of his schtick
    3) . . . oops

    On the Internet, nobody knows if you're a dog... but everybody knows if you're a jackass.

    by stevemb on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 06:41:40 AM PST

  •  Very glad that you mentioned Dan Coats (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, JBraden, Odysseus, madhaus

    and pleased to see his name dragged through much-deserved mud as well.

    A scoundrel.  Always was.

    I already wasn't going to miss Saxby Chambliss in the Senate but after that last hurricane vote, I'm really, really, really not going to miss him.

    If Rick Perry wants to run for president, he'd be better off stepping down from his job in Texas and getting an early start.  He can stir up more dust as a free agent than as an embattled GOP gubernatorial candidate.

  •  a national disgrace is not good enough for TX (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Remediator, papa monzano

    surprise, surprise

  •  We're in a worse position in MA senate race (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    charliehall2, cocinero

    The GOP has Brown again.

    The Dem candidate won't be as strong as Warren.

    This election will be a low-turnout, middle-of-the-year deal instead of a maximum-turnout presidential election.

    It's going to be a tough slog for Markey.

    Please help to fight hunger with a donation to Feeding America.

    by MJB on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 07:28:10 AM PST

  •  a nasty TX-GOV primary? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    papa monzano, MichaelNY

    oh dear.

    wonder if those rumors will raise their heads again.

    [insert pithy sig line here]

    by terrypinder on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 07:36:27 AM PST

  •  I'm not sure Perry's ever been popular (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Woody

    in Texas.  Prolly lost to Bill White except for the voting machine fire.  Even his corporate puppetmasters are struggling.  After Bush fucked education here the pool of skilled laborers is woefully small.  Why locate in a low tax low wage state if your Masters level hires can't spell, write, or comprehend the new hire packet?  How can saving money on wages save you from employees who can't think?  

    Texas is a laboratory for the worst of Republican policies, and we're the ugly proof that every one of them also fails the folks they were created to benefit.  That's what happens when intelligence and critical thinking skills are bred out of the workforce.

    I'm not looking for a love that will lift me up and carry me away. A love that will stroll alongside and make a few amusing comments will suffice.

    by I love OCD on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 07:57:02 AM PST

    •  The voting machine fire (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      Not as famous as the Reichstag fire, so thanks for giving it a mention. Since certain theories are banned here, and since I didn't read the fire department's report of the investigation, I'll just leave it at that.

      •  Just another of those interesting (0+ / 0-)

        things that happen in Red states.  I'm thinking it's possible our hackers hacked their hackers in 2012, but that's mostly to amuse myself.  I love Lisbeth Salander.

        I'm not looking for a love that will lift me up and carry me away. A love that will stroll alongside and make a few amusing comments will suffice.

        by I love OCD on Sat Feb 02, 2013 at 06:36:27 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  Hasn't Perry been really unpopular in the past (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Over the Edge, Woody, MichaelNY

    and still gotten re-elected? The Democratic brand is as toxic in rural TX as the Republican brand is in the Bronx.

  •  Ah, but clear eyed sanity in Virginia's Senate is (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, Remediator

    still a dream. They are still at the insanity game in most other respects. In "Va. panel Oks measure to allow prayer, religious activities in all public places" we find (with dumbass Charles W. “Bill” Carrico (Grayson) of recent CD EV fiasco fame being a key player again):

    RICHMOND — A Senate committee in the Virginia General Assembly on Tuesday narrowly endorsed a measure to amend the state’s Bill of Rights to require all public places and schools to accommodate prayer or other religious activity and allow students to be dismissed from assignments or presentations that conflict with their religious beliefs.
    and
    But Claire Guthrie Gastanaga, executive director of the American Civil Liberties Union, said that the bill, if passed, would be an unconstitutional establishment of religion.

    “It’s a backdoor way into school prayer,” Gastanaga said immediately after the Privileges and Elections Committee voted 8-6 to endorse the proposed amendment.

    The next paragraph describes the high hurdle for such amendments in Virginia.

    The only foes that threaten America are the enemies at home, and those are ignorance, superstition, and incompetence. [Elbert Hubbard]

    by pelagicray on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 08:49:17 AM PST

  •  IL-2 Toi Hutchison (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    I was reading that despite the fact Hutchison is receiving progressive support she, like Halvorson, has a lifetime "A" rating from the NRA?  If this is true, why are progressives rallying to Hutchison when there are so many other options available?  I must be missing something here.

    "My name's Dr. Multimillionaire and I kicked your ass." --Rep. Steve Kagen D-WI to Karl Rove

    by walja on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 08:49:49 AM PST

  •  Perry self-destructed by running for President ... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    cocinero, MichaelNY

    and being remembered for only one word he uttered during his campaign ... "Oops"

    *Austerity is the opposite of Prosperity*

    by josmndsn on Wed Jan 30, 2013 at 09:43:25 AM PST

  •  CA-17 (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Woody, Remediator

    I got moved into this district from Anna Eshoo's because Sunnyvale got reassigned to Santa Clara and Milpitas.  The old maps had Sunnyvale cut into different districts.

    From reading the links (and what they in turn link to), this could shape up to be an interesting dynamic.  I was unaware that this is "the first majority Asian district in the continental US" (from one link) because I thought there was one in SoCal already.  I thought it was minority-majority but if you count East Asians and South Asians in the same group, that would explain it.  There's different dynamics to who moves where as well.  

    Mike Honda isn't just generationally challenged, he's an East Asian in a minority subgroup (Japanese) that isn't growing. Immigrants from China etc are still arriving, Korea as well. The property bubble in China is about to burst and government intervention is coming, so some are moving their money to US property with established Chinese communities.  More Indians moving here as well, as there are engineering jobs galore for top graduates from IIT.  There are more Indian families in my neighborhood than 10 years ago, and 2 Indian markets have opened nearby.

    Ro Khanna is going to find more support in this district than Mike Honda, simply based on whose representation is increasing.  There was something in one link saying Honda considered moving to Zoe Lofgren's district (San Jose), as it was a better fit for him, but was "discouraged from doing so."  No wonder he went to the top asking for that endorsement.

    Thing is, I don't know that it will help. Khanna's interest in revitalizing manufacturing will play very well here.  If he runs against Honda, it will get very interesting here.

    Btw there is almost zero chance for a Republican to win this district.  The top two primary would ensure zero if Khanna challenges Honda.

    •  Indian-American candidates are typcially (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      well-funded. Incumbents don't like to face well-funded candidates regardless of their actual support level.

      I don't think you can break it down by ethnic origin. Rep. Honda has supported Asian-American candidates of all background, including a Korean-American mayoral candidate here in Boston and has been involved in the Asian American Action Fund.

      28, Male, MA-07 (hometown MI-06)

      by bumiputera on Thu Jan 31, 2013 at 05:24:40 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Is this a typo in MA-Sen? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    madhaus

    "certainly the president concluded that Susan Rice was not the only person capable of serving as Secretary of Defense. "

     Do you mean Secretary of State?

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