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Leading Off:

Counties: Here is a pretty interesting McNugget of data from a guy that our readers know and love: Greg Giroux crunched the numbers and has come up with Obama's top 10 performing counties in the November elections. Casual observers of politics might be shocked to see that five of the top ten counties (including numero uno on the list: Shannon County, South Dakota) came from states that threw their electoral votes to Mitt Romney. Behold, the power of racial voting patterns: Shannon County is largely comprised of the Pine Ridge Reservation, and three of the counties in Alabama and Mississippi were African-American majority counties. The lone contribution from Texas was Latino-majority Starr County.

All ten, in fact, were counties that were comprised of "majority-minority" populations. Which raises a fun trivia topic for dedicated DKE fans: Which county in America was Obama's best performing majority-Anglo county? Feel free to toss your answer in the comments! (Steve Singiser)

Senate:

MT-Sen: I'm curious: Has anyone named "Champ" ever been elected to Congress? I'm asking cuz state Rep. Champ Edmunds probably isn't going to be the first, even though he just became the only Republican to openly express interest in taking on Dem Sen. Max Baucus so far. Edmunds is best known for his efforts to make voting harder, introducing a (thankfully failed) bill last year that would have eliminated same-day voter registration and accusing University of Montana students of engaging in voter fraud. Oh, and he also questioned whether a federal probe of rape cases handled by local authorities Missoula was a political ploy by Joe Biden undertaken in support of the Violence Against Women Act. Sounds like a real lovely guy!

P.S. Nope, he definitely won't be the first: Democrat James Beauchamp "Champ" Clark represented Missouri in the House for almost three decades starting in the 1890s, even serving as Speaker from 1911 to 1919. (Hat-tip: Nonpartisan)

MN-Sen: In a new interview with the National Journal on GOP recruitment woes vis-à-vis Al Franken, ex-Sen. Norm Coleman—the guy Franken ultra-narrowly turfed four years ago—is explicitly ruling out a rematch. For some reason, I was under the impression that Coleman had already said no quite some time ago, but it's not as if there was ever any real chance he might run again, so this is entirely expected. And sure, a serviceable candidate might yet emerge from the woodwork (probably some rich business-type guy), but I think Franken is going to be in better shape this cycle than his ultimate 312-vote margin of victory in 2008 might have augured.

NC-Sen: State House Speaker Thom Tillis, who has seemingly been gearing up to run against freshman Dem Sen. Kay Hagan since forever, says he won't make a formal decision until June. That follows a classic formulation for state-level officials: waiting until the end of the legislative session. Tillis, you may recall, performed abysmally in PPP's kitchen-sink GOP primary poll, taking just 2 percent, but he's term-limited out of his current job (something he even cited in his latest remarks), so that may be reason enough to make the leap.

NM-Sen: Jon Barela is the latest Republican to say he won't run for Senate against Tom Udall in 2014. Barela, you'll recall, came close to knocking off then-Rep. Martin Heinrich in NM-01 in 2010, falling short 4 percent despite the GOP wave. But now he says he has "no plans at this point" to make a Senate bid, leaving his party back at square zero. Right now, only former state party chair Allen Weh is publicly considering, while Albuquerque Mayor Richard Berry and Lt. Gov. John Sanchez are possibles.

Gubernatorial:

MA-Gov: It's important to remember that the definition of a Some Dude operates on a sliding scale. If you're running for dogcatcher (an elected position in Duxbury, VT!), no one's a Some Dude. If you're running for president, even a former governor can still be a Some Dude (see: Johnson, Gary). With statewide races, though, it gets a little trickier, and context is everything. Take, for instance, Joseph Avellone, who just announced his entry into the race for governor of Massachusetts. Avellone is a former selectman from Wellesley, a small town outside of Boston. That's not an imposing profile, but this is much more important: He's former surgeon and a top executive at Parexel International, a publicly traded clinical research company currently valued at close to $2 billion.

Avellone also has a long history of political involvement dating back over 30 years and even served on John Kerry's finance committee in 2004. In short, he's well-connected and certainly well-to-do (possibly even very rich) ... but does he have political chops? Can he raise money for himself? Can he even give a stump speech? It's hard to say whether a six-year stint on a town board offers much preparation. But the real reason I ask all these questions is, again, context. Some big-name politicians are very likely to make the race, including state Treasurer Steve Grossman and Lt. Gov. Tim Murray. I'm not saying Avellone is a Some Dude—with a background like his, he definitely can't be dismissed. But will it be possible for him to gain traction against heavy hitters like Grossman and Murray? That's much harder to answer.

VA-Gov: We're on our second Virginia governor's race poll in two days, this time from Quinnipiac, and we've got a head-scratching disparity between the two of them. While PPP gave Dem Terry McAuliffe a 46-41 lead over GOPer Ken Cuccinelli, and a 40-32-15 lead in a McAuliffe/Cuccinelli/Bill Bolling three-way race, Qpac finds a much closer race, with near-ties not just in the two-way but also three-way configurations.

Quinnipiac has McAuliffe leading Cuccinelli 40-39 mano-a-mano (down from a 41-37 lead in November). Even more puzzling, it's a 34-34 tie between T-Mac and Cooch in a 3-way heat, with Bill Bolling at 13 (with no trendlines on that permutation), which—unlike PPP—suggests that Qpac has the indie candidacy of Bolling, currently the state's Republican Lt. Governor, drawing equally from both Dems and GOPers. Qpac also finds Cuccinelli's favorables above-water at 33/25, quite the turnaround from PPP's 29/45.

If you're frantically trying to unskew the polls, the answer doesn't lie in their party ID numbers: Qpac is 34D-26R-29I (with another 10 of 'other'/'don't know'), while PPP is 35D-32R-32I. Instead, it looks like the two pollsters ran into decidedly different patches of independent voters: Quinnipiac may have found a more tea-flavored batch, as their indies went 31 Cuccinelli, 22 McAuliffe, and 19 Bolling in the 3-way race, while PPP's indies apparently were more of the traditional centrist variety, breaking 30 McAuliffe, 27 Cuccinelli, and 24 Bolling. (David Jarman)

WI-Gov: I've regularly spoken out in favor of using social media to promote "draft" movements for candidates favored by the grassroots, so I'm happy to call attention to a new one. Local activists in Wisconsin are promoting the candidacy of Assembly Minority Leader Peter Barca for governor, as a possible opponent for Republican Scott Walker in 2014. Barca has been a vocal critic of Walker's ever since the latter took office, and the absence of prominent names eager to take on the incumbent could make Barca an attractive choice. I haven't seen any word from Barca yet as to whether he's interested, but hopefully this draft effort will make him take notice.

House:

MS-04: Hah, wow. After excoriating sophomore GOP Rep. Steven Palazzo for his vote against Hurricane Sandy relief funds, I wondered when he'd next be visiting the New York region. (Him and what army.) Amazingly, though, he did just make the trip up here on Tuesday, specifically to visit storm-ravaged areas at the behest of fellow Republican Rep. Jon Runyan of New Jersey. It sounds like the tour had its intended effect, as Palazzo—who advocated for massive federal aid after Hurricane Katrina devastated his hometown of Biloxi—now claims he has an "unwavering commitment in advocating for the next round of assistance to be considered in Congress."

Could Palazzo have genuinely feared a primary challenge from a pork barreling good ol' boy-type? Or even a comeback attempt by the man he beat two years ago, Democrat Gene Taylor, who made quite the mark lacerating Congress for inaction over Katrina? Or did a drop of conscience somehow squeak out into his teabagger soul? We'll probably never know, but let's see what happens when it's time to actually cast ballots.

NV-03: Democrats are on the hunt in Nevada's 3rd Congressional District, where GOP Rep. Joe Heck just won a second term last November. Heck fended off Democratic Assembly Speaker John Oceguera by about seven points, but his 50 percent tally, combined with the fact that Barack Obama prevailed here by about a point, means Heck will remain a target. The good news is that some very big-name local Dems already have a fresh face in mind: Democratic National Committeewoman Erin Bilbray-Kohn. According to Jon Ralston, both Sen. Harry Reid and Rep. Dina Titus have touted Bilbray-Kohn to DCCC chair Steve Israel, who will meet with her next week when she visits DC for the presidential inauguration.

If the first half of Bilbray-Kohn's surname sounds familiar, that's because her dad, Jim Bilbray, represented Nevada's old 1st Congressional District from 1987 to 1995, until he was swept out in the Gingrich wave by none other than John Ensign, the now-disgraced former senator. (The 1st also happened to be Reid's old seat until Bilbray took it over when Reid was elected to the Senate.) The elder Bilbray is also a cousin of ex-Rep. Brian Bilbray (god it feels good to type that), who just lost his own re-election bid in California last year. As for Bilbray-Kohn, she runs a group called Emerge Nevada, which Ralston says "has recruited women to get involved and run." Now it may be her turn.

TX-23: San Antonio Express-News analyst Gilbert Garcia reports that the NRCC has already started recruitment efforts in Texas's 23rd Congressional District, where Democrat Pete Gallego just knocked off GOPer Quico Canseco in November, rendering him a one-term wonder. Republicans are talking to Public Utility Commissioner Rolando Pablos, whom Garcia says considered the race in both 2008 and 2010 (though I couldn't find any mention of him in the Swing State Project archives). Garcia describes Pablos as well-connected up-and-comer (he was appointed to his current post by Gov. Rick Perry), but also mentions that he's the "former chairman of the board for the long-troubled Museo Alameda," which doesn't sound like a great resume item. Anyhow, Pablos says it's too early to think about a run, but keep an eye on this one.

Other Races:

Special Elections: Johnny Longtorso recaps Tuesday night's action:

California SD-4: Republican Jim Nielsen defeated Democrat Mickey Harrington by a 2-1 margin.

Georgia HD-21: No luck for Democrat Natalie Bergeron, she was shut out of the runoff with only 21 percent of the vote. Scot Turner was first, with 46 percent, and Brian Laurens came in second with 30 percent, both Republicans. Kenneth Mimbs was last with 2 percent of the vote.

One thing of note from the no-Dem specials: You might recognize Mike Keown, the guy who lost a close race to Rep. Sanford Bishop in 2010. He's gone to a runoff with fellow Republican Dean Burke in SD-11.

Mississippi HD-59: No runoff here, as Republican Brent Powell won a majority (51.4 percent, to be precise). Bradley Lum came in second with 26 percent, and Benny Hubbard was third with 19 percent. Scot Allen (is there a T shortage in the South or something?) was last with 5 percent.

Grab Bag:

CA Redistricting: As you may know, some states stagger elections for their upper chambers: state senators serve four-year terms, with half the membership up every two years. Seems pretty reasonable, and not that different from how the U.S. Senate operates, but there's one serious problem: redistricting. Staggered terms do not mix well with new maps, particularly in California, where some areas are now represented by two senators (one elected in 2010 and one in 2012)—and some by none at all!

This is manifestly something that should not happen in a democracy, and shame on any state which adopts such a system. To deal with this, the Senate will appoint "caretaker" senators for regions which otherwise lack representation for the next two years, but still, this is ridiculous. About eight states (including some of the biggest, like Florida and Texas) use a much more sensible method: Senators' first term of every decade lasts only two years, while subsequent terms are four years. That neatly avoids this problem, and it's something every state that insists on staggering should use.

FreedomWorks: Hahahah!

Dick Armey had no idea he was speaking to the left-wing Media Matters organization during an interview last week, he told The Daily Caller Tuesday. Instead, Armey thought he was chatting with the conservative Media Research Center. [...]

When asked who he thought Media Matters was, Armey replied, "Who's the guy with the red beard that always does the show where he points out how biased the press is?"

"Oh ... the Media Research Center? Brent Bozell?" TheDC suggested. Bozell appears weekly on Sean Hannity's Fox News show to spotlight liberal media bias in a segment called "Media Mash."

And Armey's the experienced DC hand, with years of managing the press under his belt, that FreedomWorks paid so handsomely to serve as their public face. Money well spent!

Polltopia: So, remember Harper Polling, that new Republican pollster that's supposed to be the GOP's answer to PPP? (Because all the other answers—Rasmussen, We Ask America, Susquehanna—have simply been wrong.) Well, they're out with their first state-level poll ... and it leads off with a random-ass question about which convenience store Pennsylvania voters like most. (Yes, seriously.) There are a few nominally more "serious" questions later on in the poll (biggest story of the year in the state, opinions on Gov. Tom Corbett's lawsuit against the NCAA over Penn State, etc.).

But this is not how you make your bones as a pollster. Vague questions whose results no one can possibly challenge ("You say Sheetz is the best? PPP says Wawa!") make Harper seem like they're trying to evade serious scrutiny. They do claim this is only part one, but here's something else they're already doing wrong: The poll was in the field for just a single day (PDF), a serious methodological no-no that's Rasmussen's stock in trade. A pity, because we could always use more good pollsters.

Pres-by-CD: Another eight districts spanning four states:

Indiana (IN-08, IN-09)

Missouri (MO-04)

New York (NY-22, NY-23, NY-24, NY-27)

Texas (TX-13)

A mixed assortment of districts today, with few surprises. Results from Crawford County, Indiana allow us to complete the state. IN-08 and IN-09 trade relative places: While the new IN-08 gave Obama a higher percentage than new IN-09 in 2008, its 39.6 percent Obama showing this time is more than a point worse than IN-09's 40.7.

Meanwhile, in MO-04, Dem Prosecutor Teresa Hensley was considered a legitimate candidate against freshman GOPer Vicki Hartzler, but Hartzler's 25-point victory in the congressional race was very similar to Romney's 61-36 win here. (For some reason, I'm reminded of Kay Barnes' race against Sam Graves in MO-06 in 2008, when another touted Dem lost by a greater-than-expected margin.)

Another influx of New York results finishes off the upstate districts, the Binghamton-Utica-based NY-22, the Southern Tier-based NY-23, the Syracuse-based NY-24, and the Western NY-based NY-27. While NYC is the spiritual home of Daily Kos Elections, we're having some trouble getting results from the city's notoriously bad Board of Elections. (We're also missing results from Long Island, but let's just say ... that's definitely not our spiritual home.)

Interestingly, while NY-22 and NY-23 had very similar presidential performances (Obama lost both narrowly by about 1 percent with 48-49 percent of the vote), they had stunningly different congressional races: GOP Rep. Richard Hanna (arguably a true "moderate") defeated his challenger by more than 20 points in NY-22, but unheralded Dem Nate Shinagawa held GOP Rep. Tom Reed to less than 52 percent of the vote.

Further north along Lake Ontario, Obama improved his standing slightly in NY-24, up to 57 percent. Of all the Republicans who could hold such a district, it certainly wasn't the outspokenly conservative (former) GOP Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle, who lost 49-43 to Dem Dan Maffei (who held the predecessor NY-25 from 2009 to 2011) with a whopping 8 percent going to a Green party candidate. In the last upstate NY district, Dem incumbent Kathy Hochul lost a 5,001-vote squeaker to Republican former Erie County Exec. Chris Collins in NY-27, ultimately unsurprising given the 55-43 Romney presidential topline.

Finally, ladies and gentlemen, we have the new most Republican district in the nation: the Amarillo/panhandle-based TX-13! Mac Thornberry's district takes the cake both in terms of Obama percentage (18.5) and margin (a 62-point loss), edging out UT-03 (19.5 percent Obama, a 59-point loss). Fun (and completely arbitrary) fact about the district: There are a number of billboards advertising Indian restaurants, partially in Hindi, on I-40 west of Amarillo. The more you know! (jeffmd)

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 05:00 AM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Ever heard of Champ Clark? (11+ / 0-)

    He was Speaker of the House a hundred years ago.

    Champ Clark

  •  RI-?? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bumiputera

    why Providence Mayor Angel Taveras has a bright political future: http://blogs.wpri.com/...

    Living in Kyoto-06 (Japan), voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

    by sapelcovits on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 05:11:06 AM PST

    •  Tell me about the cuts ... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, ichibon

      ... on pensions, health care, and to the school district -- how do they affect the average worker, and what's the effect on students (respectively)?

      I spent a lot of time with Taveras during NN12, and like him personally a great deal.  His office delivered for us.  But cuts do hurt sometime, so I'd like to learn more.

      •  to be honest, I have no idea (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        but I think his closing the budget gap will override that. he will say "well, we had to make painful sacrifices, but in the end we closed the budget loophole." He should probably thank Cicilline for making people so hopping mad about the city's deficit that they might be willing to overlook the pain of the cuts.

        Living in Kyoto-06 (Japan), voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

        by sapelcovits on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 06:36:39 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  I would venture to say that the county that (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MRobDC, mdmslle, wishingwell

    I live in would rank pretty high on the list majority-minority counties of with a high Obama vote. As of the 2010 Census in Montgomery County, MD only 49.3 of the population are non-Hispanic White people. Incidentally, it is, according to an article in the WaPo this morning, the county with the highest median income in the US.  Two of the three counties on that list are in Maryland.

    You fell victim to one of the classic blunders, the most famous of which is "Never get involved in a land war in Asia".

    by yellowdog on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 05:22:38 AM PST

    •  PG probably higher (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      mdmslle, Churchill
    •  I was going to say PG county. nt (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Churchill
      •  Prince George County, MD, east Baltimore? (0+ / 0-)

        80 % of Success is Just Showing Up !

        by Churchill on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 06:17:56 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  PG (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Churchill, mdmslle

          is not majority-white, I think. I believe I read it was the nation's first suburban majority African-American county (counting the rural Southern counties as rural, not suburban)

          Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

          by fenway49 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 07:33:53 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Prince George's County (5+ / 0-)

            is only 19% white, according to the 2010 Census, with likely a lower percentage of non-Hispanic whites.  It is 65% African American, 15% Latino, and 4% Asian.

            Montgomery's non-Hispanic white population, as mentioned, was just under 50%, though they may well have made up a majority of those who voted.  African Americans and Hispanics each make up 17% of the county, and Asians 14%.

            37, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

            by Mike in MD on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 08:06:53 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

          •  PG is 62.5% Black (4+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY, fenway49, Churchill, mdmslle

            Primarily suburbs, with some pockets densely populated enough to be considered "city" by most Americans. Contains some quasi-rural areas in the far south and east.

            Unfortunately some parts of the county close to DC are a worst-of-both-worlds situation where they all the same crime problems one has long associated with DC and yet lacking the accessibility and established infrastructure that one typically gets in central cities, particularly those like DC.

            Stuck Between Stations : Thoughts from a bottomless pool of useless information.

            by Answer Guy on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 08:10:55 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  Yes (3+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              MichaelNY, Churchill, mdmslle

              I've spent time there, used to live in DC and had some friends in PG.

              Although there are parts of DC that are isolated as well. The Metro rail always struck me as not extensive enough and from parts of NE/SE it's a long bus ride to the train or downtown.

              Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

              by fenway49 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 08:56:16 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  well I grew up in PG county and I'm living there (0+ / 0-)

                now as my dad still owns a home there.

                the metro has improved a lot. still not NYC but not terrible.

                •  How so? (2+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  mdmslle, MichaelNY

                  I know they did some stuff with the Green line, but it seems like you still have large areas not within reasonable walking distance of a Metro station? Our system in Boston has the same problem.

                  NYC, for all its coverage in Manhattan, leaves huge parts of the outer boros uncovered as well. Since it used to be competing private companies, Queens Blvd has a whole slew of lines running down it while large swaths of Queens are not near a subway line.

                  Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

                  by fenway49 on Fri Jan 11, 2013 at 05:42:35 AM PST

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  well yeah, walking distance is not that much bette (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    MichaelNY

                    better but busses seem to run more frequently than I remember growing up. they're just everywhere and constant.

                    •  That's great (2+ / 0-)
                      Recommended by:
                      mdmslle, MichaelNY

                      Bus service here in Boston still pretty much stinks.

                      At one time I lived in Glover Park and commuted by bus to 16th & I NW. One bus option was the 30 series along M Street and Wisconsin Av, the other was the D2 or D4 via Dupont, Q Street across Georgetown and on to Glover Park. At 5 PM I'd usually walk home rather than take the bus. Due to traffic it was faster.

                      I also lived in Mount Pleasant and took the 42, which was better.

                      Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

                      by fenway49 on Fri Jan 11, 2013 at 08:24:18 AM PST

                      [ Parent ]

            •  IDK I grew up there and after 15 years in (0+ / 0-)

              FL, have returned to live there for a while while looking after older family members.

              I think PG county is actually the better of both worlds. My dad's house is literally 1/2 mile from the DC line. I think he gets better county services, the benefit of state services and a very responsive police department compared to the abutting DC communities.

              It's fairly quiet. Reasonably safe and I think is a nice mix of city and suburb. Would be nice if the neighborhood hadn't gone to shit since my childhood here (sigh) but still not terrible. That said, some areas in DC that were seriously bad when I was growing up are transforming themselves. I'm not talking about gentrification, but creating affordable housing in those former low income communities to give the people there an opportunity to live the american dream. I just rode past a new townhouse complex off of Nanny Helen Burrows Avenue,which used to be the gh-hhh-ettt-to and saw townhouses starting at 299,000. My mouth about dropped open.

    •  Perhaps Cuyahoga County, OH (0+ / 0-)

      that is, Cleveland, and its many suburbs

      •  Nope, no way (0+ / 0-)

        Many of Cuyahoga's west side cities turned out a LOT of Romney votes. Cuyahoga is usually in the 65-35 range, nice but not overwhelming.

        Jon Husted is a dick.

        by anastasia p on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 06:42:29 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  69-30 in 2012 (0+ / 0-)

          I would love to see a breakdown by suburb.

          A liberal knows that the only certainty in this life is change but believes that the change can be directed toward a constructive end.--Henry Wallace

          by 54cermak on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 07:13:04 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Just browsing through the results (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            bumiputera

            Romney did best in the south and southwest of the county, in places like Independence, Brecksville, Broadview Heights, North Royalton, and Strongsville (my hometown).  He also pulled in a decent amount of votes in places like Bay Village, Westlake, Gates Mills, Solon, and Pepper Pike, which are all rich affluent communities on the east and west edges of the county.  

            I'll have to go through the SOS's website in detail to get the % by city.  Romney probably didn't crack the 3% mark in East Cleveland, lol.

    •  Arlington County Virginia? (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      radarlady

      Alexandria would be right up there as well.  

    •  San Francisco County (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      radarlady, Shane Hensinger, wu ming

      San Francisco County voted for Obama 83.4-13.0 over Romney and is 54.5% white.

      You have the power to change America. Yes We Can. Yes We Did. Yes We Will.

      by CA Pol Junkie on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 09:27:37 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Sheetz is by far the best convenience store (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wishingwell, Christopher Walker

    Bar none. I'm with Harper 100% now.

    •  Do they have no charge ATMs? (0+ / 0-)

      That is primarily the reason I would step in a Wawa - although their sandwiches are good, stores are clean and they are very good by any other measure - I just don't go in convenience stores much.

      "You have attributed conditions to villainy that simply result from stupidity"

      by newfie on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 06:19:46 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  They have larger, cleaner bathrooms than some (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MRobDC, radarlady

      convenience stores. And we do not like convenience stores without restrooms.  It makes it easier on a trip to stop for gas at Sheetz and use their restrooms and also they do have some decent made to order food and good coffee too.

      Follow PA Keystone Liberals on Twitter: @KeystoneLibs

      by wishingwell on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 06:33:10 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I love Sheetz coffee (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        wishingwell

        And with their loyalty card program you can get a 24 oz one for $1. Or a breakfast sandwich, hasbrown, and a 24 oz coffee for $3. God I wish we had Sheetz in the DC area. Makes me want to drive back home just for an MTO.

    •  But when you call Wawa at one N. Jersey location (0+ / 0-)

      they have to answer the phone "Mahwah Wawa"...  And don't even get me started on what they have to answer in WallaWalla...

  •  Some Dudes come out on top sometimes (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    John Delaney, who just beat Roscoe Barlett in MD-06, was a nobody businessman who just happened to be a Hillary backer from 2008. He got Bill Clinton's endorsement and beat the Democratic House Majority Leader in the primary.

  •  New York State Senate race not over yet (7+ / 0-)

    If any one has interest in this race......

    From this news article

    A state appellate court ruled on Wednesday that 99 paper ballots invalidated in New York’s 46th Senate District race between Republican George Amedore and Democrat Cecilia Tkaczyk must be counted.

    The tally could change the outcome of the race, in which Amedore was certified the winner by 37 votes by a lower court.

    The poll workers ballots getting tossed out has been in the courts in NYS before. They need to use absentee ballots if the polling place they are assigned to work isn't where they are registered to vote. Same old crap about "they could have voted" and absentee should be disallowed.
    •  Is anyone in the seat currently? (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jbob

      Are are the people of that senate district just unrepresented until the courts get their shit together?

    •  Yeah! I have been rooting for Tkaczyk (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      itskevin, stevenaxelrod

      for the past two months!  She is so much better than Amedore.  I think this will propel her to the lead -- and consequently the win!  

      27, male, gay, living and voting in IN-7. Joe Donnelly for Senate and John Gregg for Governor!

      by IndyLiberal on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 07:30:33 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Do they want nobody to work the polls? (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      So, they rejected poll worker ballots because they should have voted the day of even though most locations object to poll workers flitting in and out, standing in line for hours, when they are trying to run an election.  Heck, my county recommended that all poll workers vote absentee, even those who were in precinct, because they didn't want to lose people during the day (poll workers can't cut the line).  Or is this the partisan watcher groups that they are targeting to avoid scrutiny?  

  •  NC-08 needs a HUNT also (4+ / 0-)

    I saw a headline somewhere that Richard Hudson is a gun nut!

    Please  help my district replace HIM !

  •  Patchwork Nation link, 3033 County Demographics (0+ / 0-)

    80 % of Success is Just Showing Up !

    by Churchill on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 06:16:34 AM PST

  •  Without checking, I'm guessing Marin County, CA (3+ / 0-)

    Relatively small minority percentage, very liberal.

    Ancora Impara--Michelangelo

    by aravir on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 06:20:56 AM PST

  •  I'm very happy being a minority in my county. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    Gadsden county was Obama's best performing  Florida county - 70%. Our demographics are 55.5 % Black, 42.1% White (33.3% non-Hispanic and 10.1% Hispanic). We have our problems, but it is one of the nicest places I've ever lived.

    "Even a man who is pure in heart and says his prayers by night may become a wolf when the wolfbane blooms and the autumn moon is bright" Curt Siodmak

    by Wisdumb on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 06:21:58 AM PST

  •  Regarding Q-poll vs. PPP on VA-Gov...... (0+ / 0-)

    These pollsters have consistently gotten the same results they're showing now, with the same divergences.

    It's got to be partly a sampling issue, and almost certainly just as significantly a question methodology (live call vs. automated, and question wording and ordering) issue.

    And another factor is that hardly anyone taking the survey who isn't a hard-core partisan is giving any thought to the election, especially while still decompressing so soon after saturation-level coverage of the Presidential election.  There necessarily is a lot of impulsiveness in survey responses that comes from the respondents not really having given these survey questions any thought on their own time.

    I think it's really hard to know who if either is truly "more accurate" in these competing surveys.  Ultimately we'll never know, because they'll significantly converge as the campaign heats up and people start paying attention, at which point they'll give more consistent answers to surveys by different outfits.

    I would love to see a WaPo poll, as WaPo in my observation has been consistently the most accurate pollster in Virginia.  I have said that here in comments for a long time, and they confirmed it again this last time by nailing exactly Obama's 51-47 win in the state.  (In all fairness, PPP's final poll also showed 51-47, so WaPo wasn't alone.)  But newspapers are hurting financially and paying for fewer polls, and I don't imagine WaPo will bother until the spring or maybe even the summer to do an initial poll.

    44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

    by DCCyclone on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 06:24:21 AM PST

  •  Yeah, ... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    Republicans in 2008 could try to scare people into thinking Franken would be some kind of radical blowhard in the Senate. Now they've had years to see for themselves, and though he's no Klobuchar in the favorability department (she rivals Michelle and Hillary), I think he's teetering on Likely D territory.

    "It's almost as if we're watching Mitt Romney on Safari in his own country." -- Jonathan Capeheart

    by JackND on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 06:35:31 AM PST

  •  I was reading where incoming PA AG got more (5+ / 0-)

    votes for attorney general than Bob Casey received for Senate and Obama for President even though both won the state easily.  Kathleen Kane is the first Democrat to hold the office of PA Attorney General and also the first woman as well.

    She has vowed to investigate Corbett too and his role in the Sandusky matter. She is concerned , as are many of us, that Corbett sat on the Sandusky investigation or at the very least, slow walked it....as he was too busy running for Governor and he did not want to upset Penn State alum or Joe Paterno who donated to his campaign.

    Instead, he turned the matter over to the temporary AG after he became Governor. Then arrests happened a full 10 months later. But Kane believes that Corbett may have had enough evidence to arrest Sandusky a full 2 years before. !!

    Follow PA Keystone Liberals on Twitter: @KeystoneLibs

    by wishingwell on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 06:36:54 AM PST

    •  Let me tell you something (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      wishingwell, MichaelNY, pademocrat

      about the potential for the right female candidate in Pennsylvania: think of female voters who were intense in their support of Hillary Clinton -- because there are high concentrations of them in PA, like my mother.  Many of these women want to vote for a female candidate -- these are the same kinds of voters who frustrate us to no end because they show up for people like Susan Collins as well.  But anyway, it's great that Kane was so successful because I think she has a future if she does a good job as AG.  Corbett is a skunk.

    •  While she ran a good campaign (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      wishingwell, MichaelNY

      She had the weakest opponent of any of the candidates you mentioned.  The GOP had an epic fail for candidate recrutiment, picking a no-name DA froma  county with less than 250K people outside any of the major media markets.  

      Kane won, but the GOP didn't put up much of a fight.

      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

      by rdw72777 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 09:23:18 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Ohio has the same staggered-term issue (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    although it has more serious issues than that.

    I'm still digesting my delight that Ted Strickland isn't going to run again though. That is so freeing, and it gives us a better shot at taking out Kasich. YAY.

    Jon Husted is a dick.

    by anastasia p on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 06:40:37 AM PST

    •  Dem bench (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bumiputera

      Do you have a lot of hope for the Dem bench in Ohio? I really think Fitzgerald is not ready for prime time.

      A liberal knows that the only certainty in this life is change but believes that the change can be directed toward a constructive end.--Henry Wallace

      by 54cermak on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 07:15:08 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Probably not (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, Odysseus, 54cermak

        But I think we have good options.  Richard Cordray would be a great choice to run, he's held statewide office before and now has experience in Washington as well.  I've never heard a peep of ethical trouble from him either, which was important given how the AG before him, Mark Dann, was fairly slimy.  

        If he doesn't want to go, there's always Tim Ryan, who always seems to get mentioned.  Betty Sutton is getting some play right now but I'm not sure she'd want that battle.  She'd be a pretty solid candidate though.  It would be rich if the GOP redistricted her out only for her to beat Kasich.  (She would be Ohio's first woman governor too, I believe)  

        Ohio has never had a female governor or senator, which is just wrong.  But what's even more astonishing is that I don't believe any female candidate has ever been NOMINATED for either of those two offices.  Lucky that Ohio doesn't get consideration for most sexist state on DKE, a la Massachusetts.

  •  Nit picking time! (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    fenway49, Odysseus, ogre, OGGoldy
    Which county in America was Obama's best performing majority-Anglo county? Feel free to toss your answer in the comments!
    I'm assuming you're using Anglo to mean "White" - and not specifically Anglo-Saxon.

    When you say Anglo, are you counting the Poles, French, Portuguese, Irish, Swedish, Germans, Romanians?

    I dunno, using Anglo as a placeholder for White is like calling someone of Hispanic or Latino descent Spanish.

    •  It's worse (5+ / 0-)
      I dunno, using Anglo as a placeholder for White is like calling someone of Hispanic or Latino descent Spanish.
      At least all Spanish-speaking countries have in common the language that came from Spain and a history of Spanish colonization and, to some extent, Spanish ancestry.

      Poles, Italians, Irish are just flat-out NOT "Anglos" in any real way. It's just a colloquial dichotomy established in areas with high Latino populations.

      Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

      by fenway49 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 07:43:15 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  If you wanna be really literal about it (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        fenway49, furi kuri, OGGoldy

        Jews aren't Anglos, either, since our ancestors mostly spoke Yiddish, and those who didn't mostly spoke Ladino.

        Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

        by MichaelNY on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 08:06:16 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Sure (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          stevenaxelrod

          My list was not meant to be exhaustive. Anyone not actually Anglo is not Anglo.

          Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

          by fenway49 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 08:57:21 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  I'm Anglo (0+ / 0-)

            I don't speak Yiddish, and English is my first language.

            Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

            by MichaelNY on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 09:37:55 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  I don't take "Anglo" (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              stevenaxelrod

              to mean English-speaking by virtue of immigrant ancestors' moving to the U.S. and their descendants speaking English. I take it to mean English, or Anglo-Saxon, ancestry. Maybe just my take but I came to it in part because of the shock among my wife's family (they are from Puerto Rico) that not all "white" Americans are part of some ethnic monolith.

              We have a lot of ethnic diversity in America, even among the "white" group, and in some parts of the country people have done a decent job holding on to some vestige of that heritage, even if we've naturally become "Americanized" to some extent too.

              Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

              by fenway49 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 09:41:53 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  I'm well aware of ethnic diversity (0+ / 0-)

                But "Anglo" is short for "Anglophone," and means that we speak English, not Spanish (or something else) as our mother tongue. It doesn't make sense to make this a matter of immigration 100 years ago or more. I am not a White Anglo-Saxon Protestant; I'm a Jew of Eastern European origin, and part Gypsy, but I am an Anglo, and not a Hispanic or Yiddish-speaker.

                Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

                by MichaelNY on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 10:52:08 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

                •  Just not the way I see it (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  MichaelNY

                  I don't interpret "Anglo" in the context of this diary to mean "Anglophone," in which case majority-AA or Native American counties would certainly qualify. I took it to mean "white non-Hispanic American."

                  But not worth arguing over. I certainly never meant to suggest you're not aware of ethnic diversity, just stating why I wouldn't use the term to denote all white non-Hispanic Americans. I do hear what you're saying.

                  Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

                  by fenway49 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 11:25:35 AM PST

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  White Anglo (0+ / 0-)

                    That's the term I use. And many Native Americans don't speak English as their first (or only first) language. But yeah, the term frays at the margins. But that's true of any term for dividing people up by color or ethnicity.

                    Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

                    by MichaelNY on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 11:37:53 AM PST

                    [ Parent ]

        •  Well, to be even more blunt (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          "Anglo" means English speaking -- African Americans also speak English as their primary language, and increasingly so do many Latinos, including some whose Spanish might be a second language or just lost altogether.  So Anglo really is a misnomer.  What was intended was "majority non-Hispanic Caucasian," which, of course, was not lost on any of us, I think.

  •  I'm guessing (0+ / 0-)

    Cook County (Chicago), his home county. I believe San Francisco County or New York County (Manhattan) are just short of 50% non-Hispanic white population. Another top performer would be Dukes County, Massachusetts (Martha's Vineyard). It's heavily white but he got about 70% or more there.

    By the way, most non-Hispanic whites are not "Anglo," as furi kuri rightly points out above.

    Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

    by fenway49 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 07:25:31 AM PST

    •  Cook County isn't majority white (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, fenway49

      Non-Hispanic whites are 44% of the pop. according to the 2010 census.

      Living in Kyoto-06 (Japan), voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

      by sapelcovits on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 07:28:38 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  and as for MA (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, fenway49

        Berkshire is bluer than Dukes.

        Living in Kyoto-06 (Japan), voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

        by sapelcovits on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 07:29:25 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  What I just said! (0+ / 0-)

          I was thinking of Vermont, then Berkshire popped into my head. I just had to write a piece about Cook County and thought I'd seen it was about 55% "white" but I guess that was not "non-Hispanic white." My mistake.

          As I said in my second comment this morning, I would go with Berkshire.

          Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

          by fenway49 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 08:53:39 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  Come to think of it (0+ / 0-)

      How about Berkshire County, Mass.? Rural and white, but very blue.

      Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

      by fenway49 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 07:29:35 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Cheshire Cnty NH (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    While no where close to Marin Cnty, Cheshire County NH is over 90% 'anglo' and voted 61% for Obama. Not bad for the Granite State.

    •  "Greater Vermont" (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, bumiputera, GayHillbilly, jncca

      Funny how everything that borders Vermont is looking, electorally, more like Vermont with every election cycle.

      The Upper Valley and western parts of the Monadnock Region are the most liberal/Democratic parts of NH despite being mostly rural (and Lebanon/Hanover and Keene aren't anyone's idea of big cities) and very white.

      The small towns of the Berkshires, Mohawk Trail, and Pioneer Valley regions in Massachusetts are really blue now.

      Even the North Country and Upper Hudson Valley areas in NY are affected, and I'd even say you see a little of it in the far NW corner of Connecticut.  

      Stuck Between Stations : Thoughts from a bottomless pool of useless information.

      by Answer Guy on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 08:20:12 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  for non-minority majority count Obama win... (0+ / 0-)

    Dane County, Wisconsin comes to mind.

    Russ Feingold is a force to be reckoned with

    by HoosierLiberal on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 08:18:02 AM PST

  •  I would have guessed (0+ / 0-)

    San Francisco, but it's apparently barely not majority-white. What about Charlottesville, VA? Is it considered its own county? Is Durham County majority white?

    NY-14, DC-AL (College), Former SSPer and incredibly distraught Mets fan.

    by nycyoungin on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 08:20:55 AM PST

  •  DC (0+ / 0-)

    The article even explicitly says 'or county equivalent', so shouldn't DC be second or third on the list?

  •  MS-04 and Palazzo's Richard Cranium moment: (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, pademocrat, stevenaxelrod

    Gene Taylor's heir has raised considerable ire locally, with his hometown television excoriating him in an editorial broadcast this week.  Palazzo runs scared from both the tea-party and intellect.  The hypocrite who demanded (and got) hundreds of millions for the housing authority he ran, like Boehner, wants to balance the budget on the backs of those who can least afford it.  Rep. David Baria, a democrat from Gene Taylor's hometown of Bay St. Louis, introduced a resolution in the Mississippi House of Representatives that passed unanimously to encourage the U.S. House and Senate to expedite Sandy relief.  The Mississippi House is ruled by a Republican majority.  Maybe Baria, a trial lawyer, will run against Palazzo.

  •  Cook County, IL? (0+ / 0-)

    It is 55% white (thanks to the white suburbs), and voted 75% for Obama.

    The Most Dangerous Man in America: Rush Limbaugh's Assault on Reason (www.limbaughbook.com).

    by JohnKWilson on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 09:06:26 AM PST

  •  I go for Suffolk in MA (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    birdboy2000

    Boston baby!

    There is truth on all sides. The question is how much.

    by slothlax on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 10:20:52 AM PST

    •  Majority-Minority (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      slothlax, MichaelNY, fenway49, bumiputera

      Suffolk County is 48% White and even that figure includes most of Boston's fairly substantial Hispanic population.

      There are three other cities/towns in Suffolk County - Chelsea, Revere, and Winthrop. The former has a big Hispanic population, but the other two IIRC are still predominantly white.

      Stuck Between Stations : Thoughts from a bottomless pool of useless information.

      by Answer Guy on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 11:27:00 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Interesting (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        I thought Boston would be whiter than that, but it has been ten years.  Berkshire went 75%, that might be the highest white rural county in the country.

        There is truth on all sides. The question is how much.

        by slothlax on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 11:54:02 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Starkly Segregated (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          slothlax, MichaelNY, bumiputera

          Like many Northern cities in particular, there are a fair number of Boston neighborhoods where nearly everyone is white (probably more than many of them, actually) but just as many where essentially no one is.

          I think the biggest demographic differences between Boston a generation ago and Boston now are the growth of the Hispanic population in East Boston and the diversification of Hyde Park. Throw in that some areas that are still mostly white but aren't quite as monochromatic as they once were and I guess that more than balances out what I have seen in Mission Hill and parts of the South End in terms of gentrification.

          Stuck Between Stations : Thoughts from a bottomless pool of useless information.

          by Answer Guy on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 01:48:18 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Of course (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            I was more familiar with the northern suburbs, but I always associated vast swaths of South Boston with the Irish.  They've probably continued their migration to the South Shore.  And the Hispanic population (Central American mostly, IIRC) growth fits in too, the population was small but growing a decade ago.

            There is truth on all sides. The question is how much.

            by slothlax on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 01:52:04 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

        •  Boston (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          slothlax

          I believe is slightly majority non-white. But Suffolk County also contains Chelsea and Revere (which have high Latino populations) as well as Winthrop (which does not). That makes the county more non-white than the city of Boston.

          Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

          by fenway49 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 01:51:42 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

      •  Revere (0+ / 0-)

        About 10% Latino, which is less than I thought though I know it has large white population outside the center.

        Republicans...think the American standard of living is a fine thing--so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it. Harry S. Truman

        by fenway49 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 01:53:40 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  NY 22 23 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    One word: Ithaca.  Remember, Hanna was the guy calling out his own party on women's issues and his district wasn't too shaken up in redistricting IIRC.  His moderate stance fits the area.  Reed, though, just got Ithaca shoved into his district.  So while Obama may have performed similarly, the liberals in Tompkins County were probably more likely to vote straight ticket than the more working class and moderate Republican voters in Hanna's district.

    Interestingly, I drove through NY 22 in October to catch a flight out of Elmira (way cheaper than flying out of Syracuse) and all I saw were Reed signs.  I didn't know who his opponent was until I checked the election results.  I think I would have noticed Shinagawa signs in that part of the state.

    There is truth on all sides. The question is how much.

    by slothlax on Thu Jan 10, 2013 at 11:17:18 AM PST

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