Skip to main content

Several diarists here have shown that it's possible to get 8 Democratic seats out of Maryland, but due to parochial interests, Maryland Democrats instead drew a 7-1 map.  This map cleans up the monstrosity that is the Sarbanes/Ruppersbergermander and draws 8 districts which are all Dem on average, and 7 of which are at least 60% Obama.



All of the incumbent Democrats would have a district where they could run and win a primary, even if some might grumble about it.  John Delaney also gets a safe district to destroy Roscoe Bartlett by an even wider margin, and Frank Kratovil gets a district where the average Dem vote share is 8% higher thanks to conservadem heavy eastern Baltimore County.  This is the tossup district but I think Kratovil would be a modest favorite over Andy Harris.

The two VRA districts are maintained at majority black VAP, but are unpacked by having the 4th take in conservative Anne Arundel County and the 7th take in the Comically Dedicated Racists of Carroll County as well as other conservative areas along the Mason-Dixon line.

Anyway, when drawing this map I was trying to make the cleanest, effective 7-0-1 possible.  Still, my preferred map would be more ugly, but more solid 8-0.


Would Frank Kratovil have won a rematch with Andy Harris?

46%19 votes
53%22 votes

| 41 votes | Vote | Results

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (9+ / 0-)

    NC-06/NC-04; -9.00, -8.41; progress through pragmatism

    by sawolf on Mon Dec 10, 2012 at 08:55:05 AM PST

  •  Nicely done! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    I notice, though, that Congressman Sarbanes's home is not in his district. I can't tell about Congresswoman Edwards. Is Fort Washington located in the new 4th?

    18, FL-07 (school), MD-07 (home). UCF sophomore, politically ambitious, vocally liberal--what else could you need to know?

    by tqycolumbia on Mon Dec 10, 2012 at 09:23:46 AM PST

  •  You gave me an idea (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    for my next redistricting diary.

    Not only is it possible to draw an 8-0 map. It's also possible to draw an 8-0 map where all the incumbents live in their districts and have safe, 58%+ Obama seats. Furthermore, it's possible to draw such a map that only uses water contiguity where there is a bridge across the water. Finally, such a map would still satisfy the VRA.

    I'll post my diary about this either today or tomorrow. Because after all, there's no such thing as too many Maryland maps, and I think mine is one of the best.

    (-8.38, -4.72), CT-02 (home), new ME-01 (college) "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one." -Spock

    by ProudNewEnglander on Mon Dec 10, 2012 at 09:54:23 AM PST

  •  West Baltimore and northern Carroll County (0+ / 0-)

    in the same district?  Now that's diversity!

    Don't crash the gate--take back the keys.

    by lungfish on Mon Dec 10, 2012 at 02:58:15 PM PST

  •  Gilchrest back in MD-01? (0+ / 0-)

    Very clean lines, and impressive numbers considering that.  I like it, though agree that I'd prefer 8-0 with uglier lines.  

    For Rep. Kratovil (D) would have had a good shot at MD-01 with these lines.  Given that he won with the old lines in 2008, I think he'd have taken it back with these lines in 2012.

    The current MD-01 is a bit worse than the old one as we know, but after the vote fraud scandal concerning 2012 candidate Wendy Rosen (D), there was some noise about former Rep. Wayne Gilchrest (R) running as a Dem write-in candidate.  I think he'd also win (as a D) with the lines you've drawn.  Formerly a moderate Republican, I think he's also about the only shot to win the R vote sink that is the current MD-01.  Any chance he might run in 2014 as a Democrat or Independent?

    •  Possibly (0+ / 0-)

      But Wayne has become something of an annoyance to Republicans on the shore. He started endorsing everyone willing to put "Democrat" next to their name so his endorsements began to lose their power. I think Frank Kratovil has more chance in the 1st, especially in this map where Andy Harris is drawn into the 2nd.

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site