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Several diarists here have shown that it's possible to get 8 Democratic seats out of Maryland, but due to parochial interests, Maryland Democrats instead drew a 7-1 map.  This map cleans up the monstrosity that is the Sarbanes/Ruppersbergermander and draws 8 districts which are all Dem on average, and 7 of which are at least 60% Obama.

Photobucket

Photobucket

All of the incumbent Democrats would have a district where they could run and win a primary, even if some might grumble about it.  John Delaney also gets a safe district to destroy Roscoe Bartlett by an even wider margin, and Frank Kratovil gets a district where the average Dem vote share is 8% higher thanks to conservadem heavy eastern Baltimore County.  This is the tossup district but I think Kratovil would be a modest favorite over Andy Harris.

The two VRA districts are maintained at majority black VAP, but are unpacked by having the 4th take in conservative Anne Arundel County and the 7th take in the Comically Dedicated Racists of Carroll County as well as other conservative areas along the Mason-Dixon line.

Anyway, when drawing this map I was trying to make the cleanest, effective 7-0-1 possible.  Still, my preferred map would be more ugly, but more solid 8-0.

Poll

Would Frank Kratovil have won a rematch with Andy Harris?

46%19 votes
53%22 votes

| 41 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (9+ / 0-)

    NC-06/NC-04; -9.00, -8.41; progress through pragmatism

    by sawolf on Mon Dec 10, 2012 at 08:55:05 AM PST

  •  Nicely done! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sawolf

    I notice, though, that Congressman Sarbanes's home is not in his district. I can't tell about Congresswoman Edwards. Is Fort Washington located in the new 4th?

    18, FL-07 (school), MD-07 (home). UCF sophomore, politically ambitious, vocally liberal--what else could you need to know?

    by tqycolumbia on Mon Dec 10, 2012 at 09:23:46 AM PST

  •  You gave me an idea (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    WisJohn

    for my next redistricting diary.

    Not only is it possible to draw an 8-0 map. It's also possible to draw an 8-0 map where all the incumbents live in their districts and have safe, 58%+ Obama seats. Furthermore, it's possible to draw such a map that only uses water contiguity where there is a bridge across the water. Finally, such a map would still satisfy the VRA.

    I'll post my diary about this either today or tomorrow. Because after all, there's no such thing as too many Maryland maps, and I think mine is one of the best.

    (-8.38, -4.72), CT-02 (home), new ME-01 (college) "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one." -Spock

    by ProudNewEnglander on Mon Dec 10, 2012 at 09:54:23 AM PST

  •  West Baltimore and northern Carroll County (0+ / 0-)

    in the same district?  Now that's diversity!

    Don't crash the gate--take back the keys.

    by lungfish on Mon Dec 10, 2012 at 02:58:15 PM PST

  •  Gilchrest back in MD-01? (0+ / 0-)

    Very clean lines, and impressive numbers considering that.  I like it, though agree that I'd prefer 8-0 with uglier lines.  

    For Rep. Kratovil (D) would have had a good shot at MD-01 with these lines.  Given that he won with the old lines in 2008, I think he'd have taken it back with these lines in 2012.

    The current MD-01 is a bit worse than the old one as we know, but after the vote fraud scandal concerning 2012 candidate Wendy Rosen (D), there was some noise about former Rep. Wayne Gilchrest (R) running as a Dem write-in candidate.  I think he'd also win (as a D) with the lines you've drawn.  Formerly a moderate Republican, I think he's also about the only shot to win the R vote sink that is the current MD-01.  Any chance he might run in 2014 as a Democrat or Independent?

    •  Possibly (0+ / 0-)

      But Wayne has become something of an annoyance to Republicans on the shore. He started endorsing everyone willing to put "Democrat" next to their name so his endorsements began to lose their power. I think Frank Kratovil has more chance in the 1st, especially in this map where Andy Harris is drawn into the 2nd.

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