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Leading Off:

AR-Sen, -Gov: A long, paywalled article in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette says that three Arkansas Republican congressmen and congressmen-elect have not ruled out challenges to Dem Sen. Mark Pryor, who, amazingly enough, didn't even face GOP opposition in 2008. But things have changed dramatically for Democrats in the Razorback State since then: Five of six members of Arkansas' delegation will be Republicans in the 113th Congress. Just two years ago, five of six were Democrats.

Anyhow, Reps. Tim Griffin and Steve Womack, and Rep.-elect Tom Cotton (who just won office last week) are all considering Senate runs, and perhaps gubernatorial bids as well—the D-G has actual on-the-record quotes from each. Only 1st District Rep. Rick Crawford says he has no plans to seek higher office. Griffin, says the article, is "seen by many as the most likely future Pryor opponent," though I'm not seeing any quotes from "many," whoever they may be, as to why this might be so. It may just be that Griffin, a Karl Rove acolyte at the center of the 2006-07 U.S. Attorneys scandal, is the best connected of the bunch.

(Continue reading below the fold.)


NV-Sen: Here's some more evidence that Mark Mellman (who just got top marks from Nate Silver) is one of the best pollsters in the business: He reportedly nailed the final result in Nevada, telling the LVRJ that he consistently found Democrat Shelley Berkley down 1 or 2 points in the closing days of the race, which is exactly what she lost by to Sen. Dean Heller. He can't really notch another kill for this one, though—that polling never got released, since he's a partisan pollster and naturally a campaign wouldn't publicly release a poll showing a deficit in a campaign's waning hours. (David Jarman)


MI-Gov: Democratic state Senate Minority Leader Gretchen Whitmer says she's not ruling out a run for governor in 2014, when first-term Gov. Rick Snyder will be up for re-election. She also says she's considering a bid for attorney general as well, against GOP AG Bill Schuette.

PR-Gov: From a mainland perspective, Puerto Rican politics is intensely complicated—the island just held another referendum on its political relationship with the U.S., and while statehood advocates are claiming success with 54 percent in favor, the undervote was so large that the true results are hard to read. What's more, in PR's gubernatorial election, incumbent Gov. Luis Fortuño, who is a member of the pro-statehood New Progressive Party, narrowly lost re-election to Alejandro García Padilla of the Popular Democratic Party, which favors the current commonwealth status. (The final tally was 48-47.)

There's another angle here, though: In addition to being a member of the NPP, Fortuño is also a Republican, and the RGA spent heavily on his behalf ($2 million, according to the DGA—I'm not sure if the DGA spent anything). García Padilla, meanwhile, "appeared with the president in Florida and had lunch with him when he visited San Juan in 2011." Indeed, Beth Reinhard suggests that Obama's popularity among Latinos helped power García Padilla to victory. Republicans made a big deal out of Fortuño's victory four years ago, the first time in many years the GOP had won the seat, so this is a notable setback for them, particularly in light of their broader collapse among Hispanics nationwide.


AZ-01: Though the race in Arizona's open 1st CD was called days and days ago for Dem ex-Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick, it appears that Republican Jonathan Paton still has not conceded. Arizona, as you know, is still counting votes, and perhaps Paton just wants to wait until the bitter end. But a failure to concede in a timely manner never looks good. Just ask Marilyn Musgrave.

AZ-02: There doesn't seem to be a clear update schedule in Arizona, but Dem Rep. Ron Barber's lead over Martha McSally has now grown to 698 votes as of Monday evening, up from 289 on Sunday.

AZ-09: Paint another seat blue: The AP has called the race in AZ-09 for Democratic ex-state Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, who has defeated former Paradise Valley mayor Vernon Parker. At last count, Sinema, who will become the first openly bisexual member of Congress, was leading Parker by a 48-45 margin in this brand-new seat centered around Tempe in the Phoenix area.

• CA-52: Democrat Scott Peters' lead continues to climb over incumbent Republican Brian Bilbray, now reaching 1,899 votes as of Monday evening, up from 1,334 on Sunday. San Diego County reports 260,000 ballots left countywide, which should translate to about 60,000 ballots in CA-52. Bilbray's magic number has climbed accordingly to 51.6 percent, up from 50.5 percent a day earlier night. The math, however, is working against Bilbray in two ways: The number of votes left uncounted is decreasing, and not only is Peters' raw vote margin increasing, but his share of the vote (now 50.4%) is as well. Bilbray's magic number is now a full two percent higher than the share he's gotten to date (49.6 percent), and late ballots are looking to be slightly more Peters-friendly. This one's loooking very close to done, folks.

FL-18: While we wait for the next updates to come out of Florida's overtime 18th District race (not expected until Tuesday), here's an interesting theory to consider, and one I admit I'd wondered about myself. In the closing days of the campaign, Democrat Patrick Murphy secured the endorsement of Martin County Sheriff Robert Crowder—something notable enough to make the Digest because Crowder is not only a Republican, but he even ran against Allen West in the GOP primary. Now, Crowder's challenge, rather improbably, came from the left, and he certainly doesn't seem like he's a good fit for today's Republican Party. (He predictably got crushed in the primary.)

But West ran four points behind Mitt Romney in dark-red Martin County, taking 57 percent versus Romney's 61. That's about 3,000 votes—or more than Murphy's current margin of victory. Indeed, even the Martin County GOP chair thinks Crowder cost West. Of course, we'll have to see how what the Romney minus West margin is in the 18th's two other counties (Palm Beach and St. Lucie) before we can draw any real conclusions, but it's still a delicious thought.

IL-02: Local station CBS 2 Chicago is reporting that Dem Rep. Jesse Jackson, Jr. is negotiating a plea deal with federal authorities over alleged misuse of campaign funds. The deal would apparently include both Jackson's resignation from Congress and "some jail time." If JJJ vacated his seat, of course, that would trigger a special election in this heavily Democratic district.

KY-06: One of the toughest Dem losses last Tuesday came in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, where Rep. Ben Chandler was defeated by attorney Andy Barr. Chandler, 53, obviously wants to take some time to think about his future, but he isn't ruling out a rematch next cycle, or a gubernatorial bid in 2015. However, he says he won't run for Senate in 2014. Meanwhile, former Lexington Mayor Teresa Isaac is already saying she's "looking at" a possible challenge to Barr on behalf of the Democrats. Isaac served as mayor from 2003-06 and once ran in the Democratic primary in KY-06 in 1998, coming in third in a seven-candidate field with just 16 percent.

Other Races:

AL-Sup. Ct.: Ten Commandments judge Roy Moore has indeed won back his post as Chief Justice of the Alabama Supreme Court, but only with a much narrower-than-expected margin, considering the race was expected to be a walk for Republicans. Over the summer, Democrats were able to replace their Some Dude candidate after he made some offensive statements with Jefferson County Circuit Judge Bob Vance, who offered a much more respectable profile. Vance actually managed to outraise Moore despite his extremely late start, $1 million to $600K, but the state's deep conservative roots allowed the odious Moore to hang on with just 52% of the vote. A Vance upset would have been amazing, but it's still quire remarkable that he was able to keep it this close in the first place.

NH-St. Sen: While Democrats did indeed take back the New Hampshire state House, it doesn't look like the Senate will also fall to Team Blue. As things stand now, the GOP has a 13-11 margin in the chamber, a huge improvement for Dems from the prior 18-5 edge (with one vacancy) before election day. Two recounts are still pending, but Democrats trail widely in both, so it seems that Republicans will narrowly retain control. There are also 20 House recounts scheduled, but since Dems now hold a 222-178 edge in the body, control is not in doubt.

Grab Bag:

House: We here at Daily Kos Elections had been wondering how much "churn" there'd been in the House—that is, how many seats changed hands, not merely what the size of the Democrats' net gain was. We felt that the number seemed high, but of course, we wanted to be able to make a historical comparison, so we calculated the numbers for both 2012 and 2002, the last cycle where redistricting was conducted nationwide. The results?

Assuming current leads hold in the handful of House races that remain uncalled, Democrats will turn 20 red seats blue while Republicans will move 10 seats from the blue column to the red. This doesn't count new districts created through reapportionment, and it also doesn't count districts where one R and one D were mashed up thanks to redistricting (namely, IA-03 and OH-16). In 2002, by contrast, there was far less churn: Only seven seats went R->D while nine went D->R. So that's a total churn this year of 30, versus 16 a decade ago, or almost double.

That means the competitive playing field was actually a lot bigger this year, though most of the GOP pickups came on very friendly turf for them—only two were Tossups and one was Lean R, according to our rankings (the rest were all Likely or Safe R). Democrats had a much tougher situation, with only four races to the left of the Tossup column (and one pickup that we even had Lean R). What's more, Democrats lost about as many seats in '02 as they gained in '12, so despite the broad and challenging playing field, Team Blue actually did quite well. Of course, there's still a long way to go, but this is a good start.

And while we're on the subject of the House more broadly, diarist KevinP43 has performed a terrific dissection of the national House vote. Kevin used the AP's raw XML file to run a number of fascinating comparisons, including a state-by-state look at how the House vote compared to actual seat outcomes. In Pennsylvania, for instance, Democrats actually won a majority of votes cast in all House races, but GOP gerrymandering allowed Republicans to carve out a 13-5 advantage in the state's delegation. Amazing.

Outside Money: The Sunlight Foundation has compiled some fascinating data on how much money each outside-money entity poured into independent expenditures this election, and what their "return on investment" was—in other words, what percentage of their money was actually recouped, in the form of having been spent on a winning candidate. (We'd call it "Dark money" ordinarily, but this includes the DCCC, DSCC, and other committees too, who perform all of their operations in the open.)

The headline numbers that are getting all the attention is the miserable percentages put up by the two Crossroads organizations, because they played primarily in the Senate races (where the GOP had a lousy track record) and also heavily in the presidential race (obviously where they went 0-for-1). Compare that with the Senate-based, Dem-side Majority PAC, who had a nearly-perfect ROI. Conversely, GOP dark money spent in the House races almost broke even (John Boehner's CLF got at a 54% ROI, not much different from the Dem House Majority PAC), confirming that the House battle, unlike the presidential and Senate sides, was pretty much a wash.

Using the Sunlight Foundation's data, we've put together a chart ordered by ROI, which the committees' relative effectiveness in much clearer relief than their writeup:

(David Jarman)

Polltopia: I know this must be one of the year's most eagerly anticipated articles among Daily Kos Elections: the Nate Silver rundown of which pollsters got it right in 2012. The results are quite different from those that we've seen so far (like the much-cited Fordham study that put PPP on top), largely because Nate didn't limit himself to the last round of polls that came out before the election but did a composite average of all polls taken by pollsters in the last 21 days.

For pollsters that released at least five polls in that period, the one with the lowest average error is one of the low-profile ones: TIPP, on behalf of Investors' Business Daily. Interestingly, it's a Democratic pollster who finishes with the least bias (no bias at all, in fact: an average of 0.0): Mellman. Also interesting: Some of the unusual-methodology pollsters who got left out of a lot of aggregators' lists, like Google Consumer and the RAND Corporation (on behalf of the reverse vampires), also finished near the top. And while I know you're cheering for Rasmussen to show up at the bottom, they aren't. They finished fourth from the bottom, ahead of a rogue's gallery of ARG, Mason-Dixon, and at the very bottom... Gallup. (Can we stop pretending that Gallup is doing anything other than coasting on their historic reputation any more?)

Silver also broke out a separate chart of everyone who provided even one poll in that period, which is a much longer list. Bafflingly, the top performer of all is the one using the most anachronistic method: the snail-mail pollsters at the Columbus Dispatch. As for who gets the all-time booby prize, it's not Roanoke College, and it's not the Michigan-based weirdos at Baydoun, though they're both very close: It is, once again, Merriman River Group, whose average error is a no-better-than-throwing-darts 15.7.

Finally, there's also the wee matter of those Republican internal pollsters in the downballot races, many of whom didn't end up on the 538 ratings (although some partisan pollsters, like Mellman, show up, Silver's cutoff appears to exclude polls done specifically for campaigns), for which they should be grateful. Politico's Alexander Burns has a fascinating post-mortem talking to a number of them. Some of them are offering their own version of the "shellshocked" story, similar to the Romney camp's: As much as they may have been aware of the competing numbers available from the public sector, they seem to have gotten drunk on their own special sauce. (David Jarman)

Senate: Here's a great observation from Greg Giroux: The Democrats' 2012 Senate performance, in which they held 22 of 23 seats, was the best defensive effort by either party since 1964, when Dems managed to retain 25 of 26 seats during the LBJ landslide. Given how much more polarized the nation is today, and how much smaller Obama's margin of victory was than Johnson's, I'm inclined to think '12 was even more remarkable than '64 on the Senate front.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 05:00 AM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Dispatch also nailed downballot races. (4+ / 0-)

    Had Sherrod +6.
    Also, nailed the State Supreme Court Races. Had Dem Bill O'Neill up in his race and Dem Yvette McGee Brown down in hers, both of which werer surprising results.

    The UCincy Ohio Poll was again good. I think both of these are becoming gold standards in Ohio.

    22/Male/ D/Native of OH-16, Attending Graduate School in NC-04. Re-Elect Betty Sutton and David Price!

    by liberal intellectual on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 05:19:38 AM PST

  •  The 10 Commandments dude is back again? (3+ / 0-)

    I didn't even know he was running again.  People often get the government they deserve.

    •  Yes. We have let our love of money prevail, (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Christopher Walker

      and now money dominates in every sphere.  One cannot even be poor without money and certainly can't stand in line for eight hours to vote without money.  The babysitter pay, the transportation cost, the time off work in some cases, these are the unmeasured costs of our elections.

      Shout out to Gretchen Whitmer/D in MI.  The state needs her at the helm because her politico-moral compass is true.

      Romney went to France instead of serving in our military, got rich chop-shopping US businesses and eliminating US jobs, off-shored his money in the Cayman Islands, and now tells us to "Believe in America."

      by judyms9 on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 05:45:38 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Obama's defeat of... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Hillary Clinton in 2008 seems to have scarred Arkansas more than any other state, for reasons fairly obvious I suppose...

    Would be interesting to see how a second bid would affect this swing...

    "It's almost as if we're watching Mitt Romney on Safari in his own country." -- Jonathan Capeheart

    by JackND on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 05:50:05 AM PST

    •  I (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Odysseus, marieperoy, askew, condorcet, jncca

      highly doubt Arkansas would welcome Hillary back into their state come 2016. Bill may be popular here (just a guess) but Hillary goes around the country as a "New Yorker" and I think Arkansas knows this. Plus the fact is Arkansas is just a Republican State from now on (at least on the Federal level).

      •  It will be on the local level by... (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        condorcet, jncca

        2014 as well, with probably the last vestiges gone by 2020.  Pryor may well survive of course, but I think we're going to lose the governorship, and don't have a snowball's chance of getting back the state legislature any time soon.  

        Elsewhere in the south, Democrats seem to have (barely) stabilized their decline in Kentucky, although I think we're headed into a freefall period in West Virginia.  the Democratic majority was cut down to 8 in the State House.  Some of the ones who lost were fairly solid Democrats as well, not Demosaurs.  We'll lose the State House by 2016 at the latest, and I wouldn't be shocked if we lose the state government entirely by 2020.  

        And yes, I believe all these areas are gone, gone gone, even if we nominate someone with "rural appeal" like Schweitzer.  Realignments don't just reverse with someone with a different character at the top of the ticket.  I just hope that the rightward turn of Western Pennsylvania doesn't continue to happen so rapidly that the state turns Republican for a time until Eastern PA can diversify enough.  

        •  If we... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:

          decided to entertain this secession nonsense now, and actually cut the South loose this time, it's interesting to see what kind of position the new radical right CSA would have in the world. Europe would treat them like Dubyalands. Who would their natural allies be? Their nearest kindred spirits would be theological Islamist states.

          "It's almost as if we're watching Mitt Romney on Safari in his own country." -- Jonathan Capeheart

          by JackND on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 06:26:12 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Israel... (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            fearlessfred14, jncca

            for sure.  After this it's harder to say.  Realpolitik would suggest snuggling up to the mainly powers in opposition to the U.S., even though that would play poorly domestically due to the non-Christian status of most.  I think they'd get along famously with Russia though.  

        •  Schweitzer (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:

          At least he'd be strong in the West; Montana & the Dakotas at least, maybe helpful in Colorado, too.  Wyoming, Nebraska, Utah and Idaho are likely entirely out of reach.  Not a lot of electoral votes, it's true, but still it's something.

          "Taxes are for the little people." Leona Helmsley (before she went to jail for taking that attitude a bit too far)

          by Land of Enchantment on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 04:49:06 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

  •  mason dixon (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Timothy J

    Was reporting a 2-3 point margin for Mn about three days before the election. Actual margin was plus 6% for team o. Essentially they posted numbers to create a narrative that was not supported by reality.

  •  did anyone else notice (0+ / 0-)

    that obama celebrated his 20th anniversary with michelle on the day of the first debate, where he performed so badly.
    i wonder if that had anything to do with his lack of interest in the debate, just a thought.
    i heard this on a cable news show i believe, can't remember exactly which one.

  •  Why is PPP so low in Nate's list? (0+ / 0-)


    I mean, I didn't like some of the results, but to come in just ahead of Gravis Marketing? Yuck.

  •  Well, I guess we can kiss that AR seat goodbye (0+ / 0-)

    unless the Tea Party nominates another nut who can't keep his mouth shut about rape.

  •  Where are the Arkansas Dems? (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Odysseus, JBraden, Seneca Doane

    That state's delegation is about to mirror that of Mississippi, my home state. This is ridiculous. Both states have sizable African American populations. We should be able to win a statewide election!

    Then  again, I live in Florida, which is a different kind of crazy. At least we have a few more people of color and Democrats in Congress.

    Maybe we're in the rebuilding stages with the South. Time to bury Nixon's Southern Strategy. Would love to start that campaign.

    •  The Pryor name stil has cache (4+ / 0-)

      This will not be a Blanche Lincoln situation.  A lot can happen the next two years, but I consider Pryor to be the favorite against any of the congressmen.

      Let all the Bush tax cuts expire

      by Paleo on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 06:16:57 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  having a sizable African American population (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, bumiputera, jncca

      means nothing if it's below 50% and whites vote Republican nearly unanimously. AR's black population isn't even that large for the South.

      Living in Kyoto-06 (Japan), voting in RI-01, went to college in IL-01.

      by sapelcovits on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 06:17:12 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Concentrate on your own state. (5+ / 0-)

      Florida is by far the best state for the Democrats in terms of upside.  Most of it isn't culturally southern, and the fair districts initiative means it's gerrymandered to a comparably small degree.  Plus of course the nonwhite population is increasing, and young Cubans are leaning our way.  Honestly, nothing but the disarray of the Democratic party in Florida keeps us uncompetitive, which makes it more similar to Midwestern states like Ohio and  Michigan than the South.  

      Beyond Florida, we ain't got shit.  Virginia we should be able to flip back to blue under the "new coalition" by 2020.  I'm pessimistic about North Carolina because the gerrymander they passed was so comprehensive, but we should be able to stay competitive in statewide races.  

      Past this, Georgia is the obvious next step, as is Texas.  As I've said elsewhere, our logical goal should be attempting to hold the governorship going into 2020, so as to force the courts to do nonpartisan redistricting, and allow a possibility of legislative control.  Given the VRA requires majority-black districts, I'm guessing we'd still need to have a pretty substantial statewide majority to have a majority in state legislatures, but it's a step forward regardless.  

      •  I can concentrate on Florida (0+ / 0-)

        and still be concerned about other places. We badly need a stronger Democratic Party. Help is greatly appreciated. Are you volunteering, or is this the usual arm-chair bluster that is common on this site?

        Hell, we need to branch out into other areas. Georgia should be purple by now, given the most recent census. I don't think the Dems realize that jewel. I won't give up on Mississippi or Arkansas in that regard. If you do, that's sad.

  •  Ignore Arkansas, West Virginia at our own risk... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dianamherrera, Odysseus

    How to combat this? Combine GOTV Obama style with Howard Dean's "50 state solution." The Republicans are not ceding blue states and the national Democratic party should not cede red states. Bill Clinton should also help us here...

    •  West Va is gone for the democrats (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Jake Nelson, JGibson, jncca

      I noticed that Obama lost every country in WV. Pretty sure the senate seat is pretty much in danger in 2014 even if Rockefeller runs, gone for sure if he doesn't.

      •  Republicans... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        Don't have a bench of top-tier names yet besides Shelley Moore Capito, which is why they can't quite make it for statewide races.  

        IMHO, it's going to work like this, assuming worst-case scenarios.

        2014:  Republicans take the state House.  Shelly Moore Capito either runs for an open senate seat, or takes out Jay Rockefeller.

        2016:  Further losses for the Democrats in the state legislature.  Rahall loses his house seat.  Democrats cling to a narrow majority in the State Senate, and the governorship.  

        2018: Democrats lose the State Senate.  Manchin either retires, switches parties, or gets defeated.  

        2020:  With legislative control, there are enough high-profile Republicans to win the governorship and complete the trifecta.  

        2022.  WV loses a congressional seat in reapportionment, so even if by some chance Rahall survived through to this time, he's DOA.  

  •  Changes Pending to Senate Committee Chairs (8+ / 0-)

    The turnover of 12 senate seats in the 2012 election will lead to a host of changes to Senate committees, including the end of Joe Lieberman serving as a committee chair.

    7 Democrats
    Daniel Akaka, Chair, Indian Affairs. Next in line is Daniel Inouye, who already chairs Appropriations, and then Tim Johnson, who chairs Banking, so next in line is Maria Cantwell.

    Jeff Bingaman, Chair, Energy & Natural Resources. Next in line is Ron Wyden. Bingaman is #9 in Senate seniority, #5 among Democrats.

    Kent Conrad, Chair, Budget. Next in line is Patty Murray, who already chairs Veterans Affairs. Depending on where Murray ends up, next in line on Budget is Ron Wyden and then Bill Nelson, and next in line on Veterans Affairs is Bernie Sanders.

    Herb Kohl, Appropriations, Banking, Judiciary

    Joe Lieberman, Chair, Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs. Next in Line is Carl Levin, who already chairs Armed Services, so next in line is Thomas Carper.

    Ben Nelson, Agriculture, Appropriations, Armed Services, Rules

    Jim Webb, Armed Services, Foreign Relations, Veterans

    5 Republicans
    Scott Brown, Armed Services, Homeland Security, Veterans, Small Business

    Kay Bailey Hutchison, Ranking Member, Commerce, Science & Transportation. Next in line is Jim DeMint.

    John Kyl, Republican Whip, Judiciary, Finance

    Dick Lugar, Ranking Member, Foreign Relations. Next in line is Bob Corker. Lugar is #3 in Senate seniority, #1 among Republicans.

    Olympia Snowe, Ranking Member, Small Business & Entreprenuership. Next in line is David Vitter.

    Filibuster reform now. No more Gentleman's agreements.

    by bear83 on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 06:22:24 AM PST

    •  Energy has gone to NM for ages (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      Domenici or Bingaman, depending on the majority.  There's tons of DoE activity in the state - Los Alamos National Lab being the most famous.  I suppose that Heinrich or Udall will be placed on that committee.  Big change for our state for it to go elsewhere.

      "Taxes are for the little people." Leona Helmsley (before she went to jail for taking that attitude a bit too far)

      by Land of Enchantment on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 04:52:14 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  So is AZ-SEN still in play? (0+ / 0-)

    MSM wants the contest to continue through the long-delayed count. Is Flake stilll ok? Did Carmona really "unconcede?" Just curious.

    Rakoff for president! "An application of judicial power that does not rest on facts is worse than mindless, it is inherently dangerous..." -- Medicare for All -- "Justice delayed is justice denied" for the 99%

    by EquityRoy on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 06:35:22 AM PST

  •  Very pleased to see DCCC (5+ / 0-)

    The D-trip team "only" got 45.9% ROI. Great!

    That means they were taking a few chances on races on the edge.

    The outside funders who afterwards were able to brag about a near sweep -- Orange cough to Blue cough cough for one -- were playing it too safe. Putting all your money into strong, well-funded races means you are not expanding the playing field.

    Now with 20/20 hindsight, I'm sure we could all make a little list, of Democrats running for House seats here and there who came oh so damn close, without getting any help at all from the Inside the Beltway funders.

    I'd have expected to see the DCCC high on that group of failure-to-fight funding groups, but it is not. I'm usually a critic the DCCC is too cautious, but not this time around. I'm very proud of 'em.

  •  There is a video, somewhere (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Seneca Doane, JGibson

    of Tim Griffin (one of Karl Rove's acolytes) standing up in front of an audience at the Clinton School, crying, saying "Public Service is just too hard".

    This was after he was forced out of his Rove-appointed US Attorney position during the Bush US Attorney purge.

    I've seen it once, and not been able to find it again.

    It really needs to be found, saved and widely shared.

    Mark Pryor is a pretty squishy Democrat, and one of the Blue Dogs that has made life so hard for President Obama, but he's still better than Tim Griffin, who is a True Believer Wingnut.

    His ads this cycle were full of dog whistle bullshit like "Obama Phones" and the like.

    He is a horrible human being.

    Griffin filed HR3481, which he calls the “Stop Taxpayer Funded Cell Phones Act of 2011.” It has only 17 co-sponsors among the 435 members of Congress. While pending for nearly a year, the bill hasn’t made it out of committee.

    I'm not really FAT - it's an unfortunate childhood nickname.

    by FatPath on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 06:54:20 AM PST

  •  Redistricting hurt us (0+ / 0-)

    No question about that.  Here on Daily Kos, much of the oxygen got sucked up in fights over how much love the President did or didn't deserve.  A little more attention to the midterms might have been helpful; especially in light of redistricting.

    "Taxes are for the little people." Leona Helmsley (before she went to jail for taking that attitude a bit too far)

    by Land of Enchantment on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 04:46:42 PM PST

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