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Leading Off:

MI-Sen (PDF): Public Policy Polling. 5/24-27. Michigan voters. MoE: ±4.4% (2/10-12 results):

Debbie Stabenow (D-inc): 53 (51)
Pete Hoekstra (R): 37 (37)
Undecided: 10 (12)

Debbie Stabenow (D-inc): 53 (50)
Clark Durant (R): 31 (33)
Undecided: 16 (16)

Republican primary (MoE: ±5.2%):
Pete Hoekstra (R): 42 (42)
Clark Durant (R): 11 (9)
Gary Glenn (R): 4 (4)
Randy Hekman (R): 4 (2)
Peter Konetchy (R): 0 (1)
Undecided: 38 (34)
Not a whole lot to see here. Perhaps the most interesting observation regards the Republican primary, about which Tom Jensen observes:
There is one caveat with Hoekstra's early lead, which is that much of it is based on superior name recognition. 65% of likely primary voters are familiar with him, compared to only 22% who know Durant. With that small subset of voters that does have an opinion about Durant, whether they like him or not, he leads Hoekstra 31-29. That suggests some possibility for another Nebraska or Indiana style GOP primary upset where a candidate who starts out well behind in the polls ends up overtaking the frontrunner as they become better known. It's just a question of whether Durant will have the kind of resources and outside help necessary to make that sort of climb.
The problem for Durant is that no major outside groups have really gotten involved on his behalf. But Michigan's primary is not until August, so there's still time. I'm thinking I'd almost rather face the wounded Hoekstra, though, if I were Stabenow, especially since he just went ultra-birther:
Former Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-MI), who is running for Senate to take on Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow, told a tea party town hall last month that the federal government should establish an official committee to review presidential candidates' birth certificates. [...]

"But I do now believe that I'd like to establish a three-person office in Washington, D.C., OK — knowing it, we'll go to five (audience laughs). But there's no reason why we should have this kind of question, you know, for the president of the United States. So that at any future election, all right, that someone would have to walk into that office, and prove that they meet the minimum qualifications to be president of the United States."

In a subsequent interview with CNN, where he was grilled aggressively, Hoesktra defended his proposal, then got huffy when the interviewer tried to link this outbreak of High Birtherism with Hoekstra's infamously racist "Debbie Spend-it-now" ad. He ain't handling himself too well.

Senate:

MT-Sen: Republican Denny Rehberg rejiggers his earlier "baloney" ad, with reg'lar Montanans stiffly attacking Dem Sen. Jon Tester. My favorite, utterly chutzpahdik line: "He even used our tax dollars to give bonuses to Wall Street executives!"

NM-Sen: Dem Rep. Martin Heinrich helps a bunch of normal-looking folks win a match of tug-of-war against a gang of Wall Street stand-ins dressed in suits. (Reminds me a little bit of this promotional ad for Markos Moulitas's book Crashing the Gate.)

NV-Sen: Patriot Majority PAC launches a blistering attack on GOP Sen. Dean Heller over his ties to Wall Street. Size of the buy: $187K.

NY-Sen: Quinnipiac may want to reconsider its plans to test the New York Senate race each and every month, because as per usual, there's just nothing to see here.

OH-Sen: Rasmussen: Sherrod Brown (D-inc): 47 (44), Josh Mandel (R): 42 (41)

Gubernatorial:

WI-Gov, WI-LG: Marquette's new poll of the Wisconsin recall finds Gov. Scott Walker leading Democrat Tom Barrett 52-45, a one-point widening from the 50-44 margin they saw back on May 12. In the LG race, Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch leads Democrat Mahlon Mitchell 46-41, one point tighter than her prior 47-41 edge. According to Marquette, there's something of an enthusiasm gap:

Republicans are more likely to say they are "absolutely certain to vote" on June 5, at 92 percent, while 77 percent of Democrats say this. Eighty-four percent of independents say they are absolutely certain to vote.
Meanwhile, Democratic internal polling continues to paint a different picture. A new Lake Research survey for the labor-backed Greater Wisconsin Committee finds the race all tied at 49. That's in keeping with several other Dem polls from last week which also showed a very tight race. Of course, we still have no Republican polls against which to compare them.

Fundraising reports are also out, and Walker nearly doubled up Barrett, pulling in $6 million over the last five weeks vs. $3.4 mil for the Democrat. And on the ad front, the RGA's new spot spends 30 seconds discussing the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel's endorsement of Gov. Scott Walker, which includes a couple of mild Barrett dings (it's his "hometown newspaper").

House:

AZ-08: I believe they call this "Dialing for a D-bag". The American Action Network filed a pair of IE reports (see here and here) totaling $25K for "early vote calls" on behalf of Republican Jesse Kelly. Meanwhile, Karl Rove's American Crossroads throws another $66K in direct mail expenditures into the jambalaya (see here and here). (James L)

CA-03: A new PAC billing itself as the "Americans for Accountability in Leadership" is putting $14K into mailers supporting Republican Colusa County Supervisor Kim Dolbow Vann, who'll be facing Dem Rep. John Garamendi in the state's upcoming top-two primary. (James L)

CA-08: The spirit of democracy is strong in this one... Spirit of Democracy America throws another $17K in campaign lit and mail boosting GOP Assemblyman Paul Cook, followed by $50K in TV buys and another $24K in direct mail. (James L)

CA-26: The EMILY's List spending spree on behalf of Democrat Julia Brownley has now topped off at an even $100K. Their latest filing was $19K on direct mail, on top of $19K a day earlier for the same expense. (James L)

CA-30: The Committee to Elect an Effective Valley Congressman has spent so much money telling voters that "Howard Berman is effective" that even I'm starting to believe it! Their latest buy is $122K. Shit, I'm even starting to like Comic Sans, too! (James L)

CA-52: Democrat Scott Peters has a generic positive spot, his third of the race (the other two are available here). Note that Peters just loaned his campaign $1.25 mil out of his own pockets, so I'd expect him to be hitting the airwaves pretty hard.

Meanwhile, Progressive Kick administers a roundhouse to Peters with this ad, which pounces on comments that Peters made in a TV interview suggesting he'd be open to modifying Social Security entitlements. The production values of the ad are quite poor, and the voiceover artist sounds a little Nyquil'd to my ears, but they've put the non-negligible sum of $55K behind this ad. (James L)

FL-07: I never understood why freshman Rep. Sandy Adams was willing to go up against veteran Rep. John Mica in the GOP primary, and if this new Mica internal from Conquest Communications is anything to go by, she's now probably wondering the same thing herself. The poll puts Mica up 55-25... though hey, there's still a week until the filing deadline! Adams could still switch over to the 6th. (I'm kidding—she'd probably get killed in that primary, too.) Given that Adams' own internal from February had her down 16, I'm really not seeing a path to victory for her here.

FL-26: Even though Florida law enforcement officials shamefully closed an investigation into GOP Rep. David Rivera's dodgy campaign finances last month, there are still many unanswered questions, and the Miami Herald isn't letting go. They're focusing on a questionable $50,000 payment to Rivera's mother in 2006 which Rivera claims was for a "voter outreach program." The problem is that no one remembers any such campaign. It's a complicated story—and indeed, this complexity is something Rivera has hid behind—so if you'd like to learn more, I suggest you click through.

HI-02: It looks like VoteVets is re-upping their ad buy on behalf of Democrat Tulsi Gabbard to the tune of $50K.

IL-12: State Rep. Jerry Costello II (son of retiring Rep. Jerry Costello) says he isn't interested in running for his dad's seat in the wake of Democrat Brad Harriman's unexpected decision to drop out of the race due to health reasons. St. Clair County Board Chairman Mark Kern is also out. However, another state Rep., John Bradley, says he's "intrigued" by the possibility; Bradley's name came up last year after Costello announced he wouldn't seek re-election but he declined to run.

IL-17: Freshman Republican Bobby Schilling has a new internal poll from Public Opinion Strategies which shows him up 51-35 over Democrat Cheri Bustos. Here's the thing, though: When Obama underperforms his 2008 share on a Democratic survey, that means the sample isn't overly favorable to the Dem sponsor. But when he underperforms on a GOP survey, the opposite is true: The Republican candidate in question is indeed painting a positive picture for himself. And in this case, the sample is exceedingly favorable toward Schilling: Obama won the redrawn 17th by a hefty 60-38 margin; in this poll, he leads Romney by just 51-41, which the memo claims is "down a bit" from Obama's 2008 score. Yeah, 12 points. Just a bit.

MI-11: Columnist Nolan Finley in the Detroit News writes that Thad McCotter's in even more precarious shape than perhaps we realized. After revelations about his petition debacle surfaced, Republican officials in Oakland County (which makes up the bulk of the district) attempted a "weekend mutiny," only to watch it quickly fall apart when their preferred alternative, attorney David Trott, backed off the idea of staging his own write-in effort. It seems like there's a territorial beef here, as Oakland GOPers apparently have felt that McCotter, who hails from Wayne County, has "spent too little time on their side of Eight Mile," the famous highway which runs across Detroit's northern border.

But Oakland Republicans aren't giving up and are looking at alternatives. One is state Sen. Mike Kowall, whom we've already mentioned and who has in fact expressed interest. A new name is former state Sen. Loren Bennett, but no word from him yet. Bennett is actually from the other end of the district, Wayne County, so to the extent you can say anything about Oakland Republicans as a whole, it seems like they're looking for an "anyone but McCotter" candidate.

One other possibility is 2010 MI-09 GOP nominee Rocky Raczkowski, who has done an about-face and now says he is considering a write-in campaign of his own. (When the story first broke, Raczkowski said he wouldn't run but, like other Oaklanders, wanted Trott to do so.) Incidentally, Raczkowski is a client/victim of churn-and-burn direct mail firm Base Connect (f/k/a BMW Direct), so he could wind up with enough money to seriously get up in McCotter's grill, if Base Connect lets him keep any of it.

On a final note, I'd like to take this opportunity to remind you all of what political analyst Stuart Rothenberg wrote about McCotter back in 2002 (not available online):

I've interviewed hundreds of candidates for office, and most of the lost causes and serious contenders stand out immediately. But sometimes it's not so easy to separate the winners from the losers.

As evidence, I present Republican Thaddeus McCotter....

A former Wayne County commissioner who was elected to the Michigan state Senate in 1998, McCotter, 36, will win the August Republican primary in Michigan's newly created 11th district. That will make him a prohibitive favorite for November, since President Bush carried the district two years ago and the Democrats haven't recruited a credible nominee.

But if I've interviewed a candidate who was less communicative, more arrogant and more difficult to like, I can't think of one. And I've tried.

I thought my assessment of McCotter might be unique until I asked others. I found I had plenty of company, both in Michigan and Washington, among both reporters and Republican politicos.

MI-13: This is probably bad news rather than good for veteran Dem Rep. John Conyers: State Rep. Shanelle Jackson was just bounced from the ballot for filing insufficient signatures (come on, people, how hard is this? You only need 1,000!). But the fewer opponents Conyers has, the less likely that the anti-Conyers vote will get split in the primary. However, quite a few challengers are still in the mix, including Sens. Glenn Anderson and Bert Johnson, and Wayne-Westland school board member John Goci. Anderson's raised the most, about $134K; Johnson and Goci have raised much less, and Jackson nothing at all (apparently).

ND-AL: A pro-life PAC calling itself "Life and Marriage" (tell me, brother, do they go together like a horse and carriage?) is putting $10K behind a radio ad buy on behalf of Republican Kevin Cramer. (James L)

NJ-09: In a minute-long radio ad, Steve Rothman likens fellow Dem Rep. Bill Pascrell to "a Republican" (generically) for his various apostasies, like voting to repeal the estate tax and for once saying Democrats were becoming a "fringe party" for supporting gay marriage.

NM-01: There've been a ton of mostly negative new ads in the Democratic primary, though the plot is getting a little tricky to follow. Super PAC Progressive Kick (which is supporting Eric Griego) briefly ran an ad attacking Michelle Lujan Grisham's record as head of the New Mexico State Agency on Aging, but they quickly took it down. Lujan Grisham's campaign had threatened legal action, but the organization's founder, Josh Grossman, says they stopped running the spot because Griego himself started airing a harsh ad that's also about Lujan Grisham's stewardship of nursing homes and they did not want to duplicate efforts. (Progressive Kick still has a related radio ad up.)

Grisham responded to the Progressive Kick ad with an attack ad of her own, slamming Griego over 11 mostly driving-related arrest warrants that were issued for him, a story that popped up in the local media a few days ago. (The New Mexico Telegram explains that Griego's nursing home spot was actually a response to Grisham's arrest warrants ad.) There's one last ad to mention, in which Griego says: "The last thing we need to send to Washington is a Democrat who's a kinder, gentler version of the Republicans."

On the direct mail front, EMILY's List just dished out another $10K in direct mail on behalf of Lujan Grisham, on top of an earlier $12K. Meanwhile, Progressive Kick answers with a $25K expenditure for ground canvassing in support of Griego. (David Nir & James L)

NY-06: As we saw, retiring Rep. Gary Ackerman endorsed Assemblywoman Grace Meng as his successor on Tuesday. But City & State makes a really good point: Ackerman is a co-owner of a consulting firm, Queens-based Multi-Media, which Meng is apparently relying heavily on as she seeks the Democratic nomination. In response to questions, City & State says Meng "expressed strong displeasure" that the press had the temerity to ask questions about this. Oh, sorry, would you like your politics gentler? Sheesh, do I really have to recite the famous beanbag maxim?

NY-13: Pretty much the entire New York City political establishment is going to appear at Rep. Charlie Rangel's birthday party/mega-fundraiser—including Mayor Michael Bloomberg (who last I checked was not even a Democrat), as well as most of the people hoping to succeed him in 2013. One prominent absence on that score: Public Advocate Bill DeBlasio, who presumably is making a play for the Latino vote by not rallying around Rangel. Speaking of which, if I were state Sen. Adriano Espaillat (Rangel's main primary challenger), I'd make a big deal out of Rangel relying on Republicans like Bloomberg to bail him out. I suspect El Bloombito is not all that popular among the folks who make up Espaillat's base.

VA-11: At long last, reporters will no longer be able to turn to Artur Davis when they want quotes from a "disaffected Democrat": The former congressman from Alabama, who apparently plans to stage a comeback in Virginia, has finally, formally switched his party affiliation and is now an out-and-proud Republican. He's all yours, GOP! (And to think, this piece of shit was a top DCCC official just a couple of cycles ago.)

WI-02: State Rep. Kelda Roys, who has been outraised every quarter by fellow state Rep. Mark Pocan, is getting a big shot in the arm: EMILY's List just endorsed her in the Democratic primary.

Other Races:

MD-Init: Looks like a referendum to overturn Maryland's new same-sex marriage law will indeed wind up on the ballot this fall, as organizers just submitted 113,000 signatures, more than twice what they needed. Fortunately, polling has shown majorities in favor of preserving the law.

Grab Bag:

Netroots Nation: Just a reminder for those of you attending Netroots Nation in Providence, RI next week: The crew at Daily Kos Elections (Steve, Arjun, Jeff and myself), along with our Daily Kos Labor colleague Laura Clawson, will be conducting our usual horserace Q&A panel. It'll be held on Thursday, June 7 at 3pm in Ballroom B at the Rhode Island Convention Center. For those of you who cannot attend in person, it will also be webcast live. We'll be sure to post a link on the day of the panel.

Texas Primaries: Tuesday night was primary election night in Texas, although (with the exception of Beto O'Rourke's upset win in TX-16's Dem primary) most questions remain unanswered, with most of the big-name races going to runoffs (starting with both sides of the Senate race). Click through for our full recap of the results, as well as a look ahead to July's runoffs. (David Jarman)

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:00 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Hoekstra is a sore loser (4+ / 0-)

    "Rick Perry talks a lot and he's not very bright. And that's a combination I like in Republicans." --- James Carville

    by LaurenMonica on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:01:31 AM PDT

    •  Isn't the FEC the "committee" that determines... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      dufffbeer, Larsstephens

      eligibility to run for office?

      What Hoekstra really wants is a committee they can pack with GOP radicals to enforce their warped views on everyone else.

      "The right to be heard does not automatically include the right to be taken seriously." -- Hubert H. Humphrey

      by Candide08 on Thu May 31, 2012 at 08:15:51 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  No. (0+ / 0-)

        the FEC only enforces campaign finance laws. The only things that determine eligibility can be found in the Constitution.

        24, Practical Progressive Democrat (-4.75, -4.51), DKE Gay Caucus Majority Leader, IN-02; Swingnut. Barrett/Mitchell on June 5th, 2012!

        by HoosierD42 on Thu May 31, 2012 at 10:03:52 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Perhaps the wording was a bit ambiguous... (0+ / 0-)

          but we are saying the same thing.  I know the FEC does not make laws - but they CHECK and validate a candidates eligibility to run.

          The FEC would do the same thing  (confirm a candidates eligibility as per laws and the constitution) as the proposed "committee" referenced in the article.

          "The right to be heard does not automatically include the right to be taken seriously." -- Hubert H. Humphrey

          by Candide08 on Thu May 31, 2012 at 12:23:35 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  Can we get some coverage on Marist polls? (5+ / 0-)

    Those numbers from Iowa, Nevada and Colorado place Romney within a point or two of the president in all these core states.  I am going to go ahead and say that hearing this on the news this am put me in a foul mood.  Recent polls put us more decisively ahead a few weeks ago, and now it looks like Romney is gaining ground, esp. with women.  Are people insane?  Why give the same economic assassins and pro-misogyny crowd the keys to the White House?  Someone talk me down... PLEASE.

    I vote Democratic because I am a woman with self-respect , who rejects bigotry of all kinds, subscribes to science, believes in universal health care, embraces unions, and endorses smart internationalist foreign policy.

    by Delilah on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:10:16 AM PDT

  •  What I have to keep reminding myself... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dougymi

    Is if Hoekstra (or anyone else) had suggested such an DC office in 2002 (or anyone just about any time earlier), it wouldn't have even made local news...

  •  New Marist (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Delilah

    The new NBC/Marist Polls show Iowa tied, Obama up one in Colorado and 2 in Nevada, way too close for comfort, anybody get a look at crosstabs?  They also show Berkely only 2 down to Heller.  Any thoughts?

    •  Links (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      atdnext, DCCyclone

      http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/...

      http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/...

      http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/...

      Other than Colorado, differs from PPP and Rasmussen, at least as to Nevada.  Pollster has been fairly Obama friendly up till now, so don't know.

      “The country tried everything Romney says, and it brought the economy to the brink of collapse”

      by Paleo on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:24:11 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Nevada R number is high (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        atdnext, stevenaxelrod

        40 (D)  38 (R) 21 (I).  In '08 it was 38-30-32.

        Colorado and Iowa are pretty close to '08.

        “The country tried everything Romney says, and it brought the economy to the brink of collapse”

        by Paleo on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:33:21 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Colorado may be a little Republican heavy (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Delilah

          But not enough to make a huge difference.

          I've checked the dates and the OH, FL, VA polls were all taken 5/17-20. Job approval in those was 49 or 48-45.

          Here it is negative in CO and NV and just +1 in IA. All states with a more Democratic PVI the previous three.

          All six polls taken within the same seven days.

          "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

          by conspiracy on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:58:15 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  the Nevada poll is probably an oulier (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          atdnext, Delilah, askew

          Even Ras had Obama way up in Nevada and over 50%. Anyway all polls of Nevada historically underestimate democratic performance.
          The Colorado and Iowa polls seem reasonable. Also the Nevada poll have it 50/50 male to female usually  more woman vote.

          •  There have been (0+ / 0-)

            some close Colorado polls lately that have left me concerned for a while.  But recent polls have given clear leads to the president in Iowa and Nevada w/in weeks, so this result seems quite bizarre to me.  

            I vote Democratic because I am a woman with self-respect , who rejects bigotry of all kinds, subscribes to science, believes in universal health care, embraces unions, and endorses smart internationalist foreign policy.

            by Delilah on Thu May 31, 2012 at 08:18:21 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  What was in it (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Delilah

          in 2010.

          What I am seeing is a 2012 electorate that is halfway between 2010 and 2008 in terms of D v. GOP.  See the Wisconsin polling yesterday.

          Huge falloff among the 18-29 in many of the polls (including PPP).

          The bitter truth of deep inequality has been disguised by an era of cheap imported goods and the anyone-can-make-it celebrity myth - Polly Toynbee

          by fladem on Thu May 31, 2012 at 07:07:51 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  2010 (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Delilah

            NV - 35-33-32, D-R-I
            CO - 33-27-40, D-R-I

            The PPP CO poll looked a lot like 2010.

            "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

            by conspiracy on Thu May 31, 2012 at 07:41:19 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  These Marist polls reflect actual voter reg (0+ / 0-)

            All 3 of these states have party-based registration, and the Marist party IDs have R-D margins consistent with actual current party registration.

            44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

            by DCCyclone on Thu May 31, 2012 at 12:52:06 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  They don't make much sense (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Delilah

      Given the Ohio, Florida and Virginia polls last week. If he is ahead in those he should be further ahead in these.

      "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

      by conspiracy on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:36:26 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Poll is a week old (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Davidsfr, Byblis, askew

        Taken 22-24.  Last Tuesday to Thursday.

        “The country tried everything Romney says, and it brought the economy to the brink of collapse”

        by Paleo on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:42:15 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  That makes even less sense (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Delilah

          If they were taken the same time as the previous three.

          "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

          by conspiracy on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:45:15 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Others were the 18th-20th (0+ / 0-)

            Anyway, if you win those three states, the smaller three don't matter.

            “The country tried everything Romney says, and it brought the economy to the brink of collapse”

            by Paleo on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:54:15 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  I can't envisage any scenario (3+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              ArkDem14, Delilah, jncca

              Where he wins OH, VA, FL and not CO, NV, IA. It upends everything we know.

              "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

              by conspiracy on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:00:25 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Exactly (0+ / 0-)

                I take little comfort it there being better polling data in other key states.  This triad (that came out today)  seems to run counter to the trend.  Exactly as you said... upends all that we know.

                I vote Democratic because I am a woman with self-respect , who rejects bigotry of all kinds, subscribes to science, believes in universal health care, embraces unions, and endorses smart internationalist foreign policy.

                by Delilah on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:06:28 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  See below. Marist is new to Nevada... (2+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  Delilah, askew

                  And I think it's new to Colorado as well. In both states, Marist seemed to highball GOP voters at least a bit. Especially here, most public pollsters have screwed up royally in trying to poll us. It mostly comes down to pollsters like Marist tossing out people who will vote in November... But don't fit into their voter screens.

                  OFA is super busy registering & re-registering Dem voters here, and I seriously doubt Marist picked up any of them.

                  •  Thanks (0+ / 0-)

                    That's actually really helpful in talking me down from the tree of anxiety.  I  appreciate it.  I signed up to volunteer since I live in a non-swing state.  Got to put my energy into doing something productive.

                    I vote Democratic because I am a woman with self-respect , who rejects bigotry of all kinds, subscribes to science, believes in universal health care, embraces unions, and endorses smart internationalist foreign policy.

                    by Delilah on Thu May 31, 2012 at 07:56:38 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                  •  See my comment above, party ID is right (0+ / 0-)

                    The party registration numbers have changed, and your state, Nevada, has a smaller Dem edge now than even in 2010.

                    The Marist R-D margins correctly reflect the R-D margins in actual party registration in these 3 states.

                    44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

                    by DCCyclone on Thu May 31, 2012 at 12:54:11 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

              •  Ohio (0+ / 0-)

                benefited from the Auto bailout, which may account for why Obama's lead is pretty big there (though Rasmussen will have a new number today).

                The bitter truth of deep inequality has been disguised by an era of cheap imported goods and the anyone-can-make-it celebrity myth - Polly Toynbee

                by fladem on Thu May 31, 2012 at 07:09:07 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

    •  I find the Marist numbers (0+ / 0-)

      to be disturbing.  Polling data weeks ago placed Iowa comfortably in President Obama's column, and Nevada too.  Colorado has had a few close polls, so there is some consistency there.  I don't like the closing of the gender gap by Romney.  Maybe that's attributable to Repub women going home to the GOP but I am not sure that's all that's going on there.  I'd like to see some analysis as well

      I vote Democratic because I am a woman with self-respect , who rejects bigotry of all kinds, subscribes to science, believes in universal health care, embraces unions, and endorses smart internationalist foreign policy.

      by Delilah on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:53:51 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  NV has polling issues (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ArkDem14, atdnext, Delilah, askew

      regarding pollsters undercounting dems, that is something that has come up time and again there. We saw it in 08 with the presidential contest and again in 10 with the senate race there.

      Still expected better from Marist in these states. But the polls are over a week old, as someone pointed out. We'll just have to wait until the next batch.

      •  The NV and CO polls here (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Delilah

        Both have more Hispanics than the 2008 exit poll. I cannot explain how two batches of three polls taken within the same week can look so different.

        "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

        by conspiracy on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:02:43 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I don't think Marist has polled here before... (4+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          ArkDem14, Byblis, askew, lina

          So keep that in mind. And as Paleo says above, most public pollsters screw up here because our population is so hard to poll. While most of the internals look right, the GOP number is on the high side, as well as the senior number.

          If this were Suffolk saying it's a 2% race, I'd get a little nervous. But again, this is Marist's first time polling Nevada, so I wouldn't freak out.

          Keep in mind: In mid-June 2010, Razzy had Sharrrrrrrrrrrron Angle beating Harry Reid by double digits. Remember how that turned out?

          •  I don't remember her leading by double digits (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            atdnext, Delilah

            but I certainly remember all but Suffolk among the public polls showing her winning. Still would have expected more favorable results from Marist across the board.

            •  The summer before the election (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              atdnext, savvyspy

              she was up double digits. In fact Reid was down double digits in almost all polling for around 20 months, until he shredded Angle, fearlessly highlighting every bit of far-right extremism she had all over TV, pulling no punches and being very clear. And then he crushed her disorganized field offices with his GOTV and won by 5 points despite all but public pollster showing him losing, and even Nate Silver projecting an Angle victory..

              "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

              by ArkDem14 on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:19:09 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

            •  Again, remember that Marist is new... (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              savvyspy

              To Nevada, so they don't yet understand all the in's & out's of polling Nevada. In 2008 & 2010, PPP was horrible in lowballing Dem voters here. PPP had to learn from its mistakes to catch up to the experts.

              Suffolk was the only public pollster to even come close to the actual 2008 & 2010 top line results, do I weight its polls far more than pretty much everyone else (including PPP) except for the private pollsters who have mastered the art of polling Nevada.

              •  Sure (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                Delilah

                But the NV numbers make sense taken to toegther with the IA and CO polls.

                "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

                by conspiracy on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:24:23 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  As I said above... (3+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  ArkDem14, savvyspy, askew

                  OFA is busy registering new Dem voters here, as well as re-registering Dems who fell off the grid after 2008. It's incredibly likely that Marist failed to pick up these voters. Another thing I noticed in Marist's internals is that it's a bit senior heavy, so keep that in mind as well.

                  I'm NOT trying to be Pollyanna here. Rather, I'm just saying you all need to remember that Marist is new to Nevada and most public pollsters strike out when they first come to play here.

    •  It seems that this time (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      atdnext

      the President is doing better in robopolls than live calls. At least, with PPP than live calls.

      Are people afraid to admit that they intend to vote for him again? Or is it that many haven't made up their mind but support him softly?

      Ok, so I read the polls.

      by andgarden on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:07:18 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  SurveyUSA seem to track quite closely with PPP (5+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        andgarden, ArkDem14, atdnext, Delilah, askew

        But lots of contradictory polling out there. As I've said elsewhere these Marist polls aren't coherent with themselves.

        "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

        by conspiracy on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:11:04 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Pick your numbers, I guess (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          atdnext, drhoosierdem

          I'd love to see larger sample sizes with a close demographic analysis of the individuals who are decided and then undecided.

          Ok, so I read the polls.

          by andgarden on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:14:32 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I'll stick with the averages (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            atdnext, Delilah

            But these Marist polls are seriously odd. The first release taken together makes sense. The second release taken together makes sense. But almost like something happened in between the field dates to move the national electorate five points to the right.

            "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

            by conspiracy on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:17:52 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  the FL poll was pretty D-heavy (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              atdnext, Delilah

              while the CO poll and especially the NV poll are rather R-heavy compared with the last general. So some of the difference can be explained by the sample composition. That said there's no doubt that these 3 present a weaker picture for Obama overall than the previous 3 did.

              •  The OH and VA numbers (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                ArkDem14, Delilah

                Also looked the same as other firms. I guess the CO poll here does look like the two most recent out of there but NV and IA certainly don't. Unless PPP completely flunked in Iowa at the start of the month.

                "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

                by conspiracy on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:30:24 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

              •  PPP will be polling FL this weekend (0+ / 0-)

                let's see where they come out. Logically Obama should be doing better there than MO but I expect a similar result.

              •  I don't get it (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                atdnext

                If its R heavy and Obama is still winning those states why does it matter if its close or not?? These seem like worse case senario.

                I doubt OFA's internal polling shows Iowa tied. Maybe not double digit but not tied. I just will never buy Romney winning Colorado. The democrats weathered the storm in Colorado better than most places and I don't see CO going GOP. I think the Reid machine pulls Obama through in Nevada too.

                Once you win no one asks you to draw a picture of it. Whether you win by 10 votes or 10 million votes the GOP is going to act like THEY have a mandate to rule. What does it matter?

                •  I was about to say that Marist... (0+ / 0-)

                  Actually did a fairly good job of nailing Nevada's electorate... In 2010! I believe the 2010 NV exit poll showed an electorate that would have favored Obama over McCain by only about 49-46, and Dems & GOPers were close to parity.

                  I seriously doubt we'll see another 2010 style electorate. So if Obama is even winning in a 2010 like climate, then he's much stronger than most pundits give him credit for. Again, I'm not trying to be Pollyanna here. Rather, I think we all need to keep all the public polls in proper perspective.

        •  Ras now has Romny up in Ohio (0+ / 0-)

          Yeah ras is working his right wing magic.  Says Romney 46-44. I will believe it when I see other polls showing this.

      •  Plenty of the former. (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ArkDem14, Byblis, askew

        At least here in Nevada, I've seen it. Some nonpartisans (independents) in my neighborhood don't want to be labeled as "automatic Democrats", but they've seen enough of Romney to know they'll vote for Obama. I even have a couple Republican relatives who will probably vote for Obama now that they've seen how craven Romney is and how crazy the Nevada GOP has become.

    •  comparing PPP and Marist IA polls (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Delilah

      one startling difference is that Romney's favorability was -22 according to PPP a few weeks ago, here level.

      Direct comparisons with their FL poll aren't that helpful I think as that one had an implausibly D-friendly party breakdown (I consider it an outlier). These ones if anything are slightly heavy on Conservatives and Republicans, especially the NV poll.

      The Iowa poll is certainly the most disappointing of these as the sample looks pretty close both to the 2008 general and to PPP's a few weeks ago, with a much weaker result for Obama. The other two aren't fantastic either but if anything they are likely to be slightly underestimating Obama support.

       

    •  Romney's numbers are close to McCain's '08 ones (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      atdnext

      A lot of polling has shown him stuck at 44-46% in states like these, sometimes even lower. For Romney to win off of these sort of numbers, he'd have to win almost all undecideds and that's not likely, since most of those undecided probably aren't Republicans.

      26, Male, CA-24 (new CA-26), DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

      by DrPhillips on Thu May 31, 2012 at 07:21:59 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Shall we guess what other 6 states (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      gigantomachyusa

      they are going to poll? They have said they are going to regularly poll 12 swing states this election. So far they have covered OH, VA, FL, NV, CO & IA.

      NC is an obvious choice, as is PA even though it is probably leaning strongly for Obama. Missouri is also a likely choice. Will they consider MI a swing state? What about AZ or NM? NH? WI?

      I will suppose we see polls from these 6 states in the next couple of weeks:

      NC
      PA
      MO
      AZ
      NH
      WI

  •  Initial claims (0+ / 0-)

    383,000. Bad, bad, bad.

    http://www.ows.doleta.gov/...

    "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

    by conspiracy on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:30:47 AM PDT

    •  Sigh (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      atdnext, Amber6541

      I'm guessing Greece and other factors. The thing is, none of this makes any sense. All the underlying factors seem so strong; businesses are sitting on tons of money, there are lots of positions needing to be filled, and gas prices are falling. Yet the economic growth is sliding into mediocrity. It just doesn't make sense to me. It's not like Greece, Italy and Spain are major export-import markets for America, nor will the Euro zone collapse if it's weakest member leaves it (and Italy is looking stronger and more secure than under Burlesconi). I don't get why every time the small southern European economies wobble a little further down, the stock market and economic outlook in America downgrades as if we were facing the collapse of economic superpowers.

      If anything, American manufacturing should (and apparently is to some degree), be benefiting from Europe's sluggish position and very top heavy societies.

      Japan and China are more problematic slow-downs, but neither has reached a critical point yet, and in both cases there are some benefits that we should be seeing to along with the drawbacks.

      I'm at a loss, but I'd be happy if job reports were at 150k.

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:16:35 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Big Businesses will not hire for next 5 mos... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      gigantomachyusa, askew

      Along with donating tens of millions to Romney and his SuperPAC's, they'll hold of on hiring to keep the job numbers bad.  Just you wait until after the election - should Romney win there will be a hiring spree and the MSM will push the story that "Big Business is more comfortable with Romney and they're hiring because of it".  

      No doubt in my mind.  

      •  I Was Thinking The Same Thing.... (0+ / 0-)

        The business community will hold off hiring to sabotage Obama.

        •  that's nonsense (7+ / 0-)

          Businesses want to make a buck. If they can profitably hire more people, they will. For what you said to make any sense, a firm would have to be both (a) certain that it would make more money under Romney than under Obama and (b) big enough that its hiring decision would tip the election--and for even the biggest firms, the chance that their hiring pattern would tip the election is negligible. It's not going to happen.

          SSP poster. 42, CA-5, -0.25/-3.90

          by sacman701 on Thu May 31, 2012 at 08:53:22 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Agree (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            bumiputera, tietack

            there may be a very few that are so cravenly political they base their hiring decisions on possibly swaying an election, but it will have no affect upon actual employment stats.

            •  Some depend on Government contracts (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              lina

              Two categories come to mind:

              1) Companies that are still using money from the stimulus, who could conceivably be cut off in the event of a Romney Presidency. I'd suspect if they consider politics at all, they're hiring to use up that money as quickly as possible.

              2) Defense contractors who could possibly see more stable funding in the event of a Romney Presidency -- they could be holding off on hiring decisions for now, as I suspect a second term for President Obama will lead to significant cuts in that sector.

              "I hope; therefore, I can live."
              For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

              by tietack on Thu May 31, 2012 at 11:02:14 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

  •  Stabenow is in (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    atdnext, Aquarius40, Amber6541

    little danger of losing her seat to either of these guys, IMHO. "Turtle Pete" Hoekstra is not highly regarded except in his conservative western MI district, and Durant is known mainly--and mainly by wingnuts--as a charter school advocate who coincidentally makes big money from charter schools. That is in fact his major motivation for seeking office, and I expect that his numbers will fall as independents and Dems figure out what he's all about.

    The "turtle Pete" moniker comes from an incident a few years ago wherein Pete raised holy hell about the state building a fence, with federal funding, to keep endangered turtles away from an interstate highway.

    "A lie is not the other side of a story; it's just a lie."

    by happy camper on Thu May 31, 2012 at 05:33:31 AM PDT

    •  Yeah, (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Amber6541

      I recall this Auto-Tune from 2010.

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:02:48 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Watch out for Artur Davis (6+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Paleo, Theston, atdnext, dc1000, KingTag, itskevin
    It’s unclear what congressional seat Davis might seek in northern Virginia, but the 11th Congressional District is a swing district in which Democrat Rep. Gerry Connolly narrowly won re-election in 2010. Before Connolly’s election in 2008, Republican Tom Davis held the seat for 14 years.
    http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

    It's funny. It's like they don't even know redistricting turned the 11th into a rapidly bluing district Obama got 60% of the vote in... Oh wait, they probably don't. It's like how I saw, earlier in the week, an article in a national paper saying Antonio Villalobos was favored in TX-34 in the Democratic primary. The sad thing is these journalists are about as well rounded on the Presidential race.

    My favorite remark from that article was this:

    Former Alabama Supreme Court Justice Mark Kennedy was elected chairman of the Alabama Democratic Party shortly after the 2010 election. Kennedy said Davis never called him to share his thoughts about the state Democratic party and its future.

    “I guess I’m not going to be Republican enough for him to do that,” Kennedy said.

    It's amusing to watch the media struggling to make a has-been Democratic Congressman's sour grapes into a relevant news story. Artur Davis showed the same stunning arrogance toward minority voters that Republicans show on a regular basis; he expected black voters would vote for him simply because he was black, and so was unresponsive to his constituents for years, amassed a very conservative voting record for his district, and made various callously obvious votes and positioning that were solely to run for statewide office. The guy was nothing but a bunch of ambition, and Roy Sparks destroyed him among in his congressional district and everywhere else, in a year where Davis seemed to act like he was entitled to the Democratic nomination for Governor.

    Ever since Davis has been angry and whiny, and moved even further to the right, looking for a new place to fulfill his ambitions, and Republicans always love to have one or two high profile minority politicians to deflect the criticism that their agenda is by and large one driven by a privileged white upper class policy vehicle. I would find it amusing to watch him run against Connolly just to see him lose another race 60-40. But kudos to Virginia Republicans, they have obviously been stroking Artur Davis's ego, looking for a telegenic, well-spoken, well-connected minority candidate for run for office. Davis is possibly young enough to restart his career in Virginia as a moderatish Republican, perhaps in the outer NoVa suburbs as a legislator, then a statewide candidate. So in that since, he could end up being a pain for the VA-DP.

    "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

    by ArkDem14 on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:00:44 AM PDT

    •  Who cares about him (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      atdnext, ehstronghold, dc1000, bythesea, askew

      That he thinks anyone cares what this sore loser does is the biggest display of arrogance since Harold Ford rode around New York City in a helicopter.

      “The country tried everything Romney says, and it brought the economy to the brink of collapse”

      by Paleo on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:08:03 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  The Media (0+ / 0-)

        And thats all that matters.

        Davis could be a problem if he speaks at the RNC, but I doubt he does that, I think hes personally close with Obama.  Although that hasn't stopped him from being vocally against some of Obama's signature things.

        31/D/M/NY-01/SSP: Tekzilla

        by Socks The Cat on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:57:37 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  He'll speak if offered (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          LordMike, ArkDem14

          Davis is a pure narcissist and will jump at the chance to speak, which will give him lots of attention this year and the potential to attract more attention down the road. He doesn't give a damn about Obama, any other Democrat,  any Republican, or anyone in the universe but himself.

          SSP poster. 42, CA-5, -0.25/-3.90

          by sacman701 on Thu May 31, 2012 at 08:57:41 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  All I'll say is that if Mr. Raczkowski (6+ / 0-)

    ...does plan on running a write-in campaign, he'd better hope that they're VERY lenient about the spelling...

  •  funny that there's little outside group support (0+ / 0-)

    for durant yet.  His major patron when he first got into the race was the billionaire devos  clan.  I think betsy talked him into running, if I'm not mistaken. I'm really surprised they haven't gotten involved in a big way.  Unless they think his support isn't growing fast enough, I expect them to start the money train to his campaign.  They are pretty frugal, though.  If they think he's a loser, then it might never get out of the station.

    A learning experience is one of those things that says, 'You know that thing you just did? Don't do that.' Douglas Adams

    by dougymi on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:19:02 AM PDT

  •  Oh great shitty day continues (0+ / 0-)

    "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

    by conspiracy on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:34:35 AM PDT

  •  Ras Ohio: Romney 46-44 (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Delilah, askew, sapelcovits

    “The country tried everything Romney says, and it brought the economy to the brink of collapse”

    by Paleo on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:36:42 AM PDT

  •  Hoekstra was a loon as head (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Marcus Graly, Amber6541, bythesea, askew

    of House Intelligence Committee, and he has not improved.

    In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice; but in practice, there always is a difference. - Yogi Berra En théorie, il n'y a aucune différence entre théorie et pratique, mais en pratique, il y a toujours une différence. - Yogi Berra

    by blue aardvark on Thu May 31, 2012 at 06:38:48 AM PDT

  •  Rick Scott's (6+ / 0-)

    voter suppression purging of the voter rolls purged a 91 year old veteran of WW1 who won a bronze star for his actions during the Battle of the Bulge.

    http://www.miamiherald.com/...

    Obama/Biden 2012: Keep America moving forward not backwards.

    by ehstronghold on Thu May 31, 2012 at 07:08:10 AM PDT

    •  The contrast is ironic, and good for Dem framing (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bumiputera, KingofSpades

      A 91-year old man who courageously risked his life in WW2 to help save the world being kicked off the voter rolls by one of, let me put it bluntly, the Republican cowards who frankly are afraid of people voting if they don't agree with them.

      36, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

      by Mike in MD on Thu May 31, 2012 at 08:56:22 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Birther committee run by a psychiatrist, (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Amber6541

    or a crew of them, maybe.  Really, these people must fit some definition of mental illness.  I read some of their ramblings on wingnut blogs.  They need help.  I wonder if this delusion about Obama is their only delusion, or if they have other weird ideas as well.

    "I don't want to blame anyone. I just want to know how lowering taxes on the rich creates jobs" --Informed citizen at Congressional town hall

    by Time Waits for no Woman on Thu May 31, 2012 at 07:15:48 AM PDT

  •  Interesting tea leaf on Michigan (7+ / 0-)

    from Biden in a recent interview with Time.  Confirms what most of us probably already think - Michigan is pretty safe.

    "I've been assigned six states. Pennsylvania, my home state. Ohio, Iowa, believe it or not, New Hampshire, Florida... Now they are talking about assigning me either Virginia, Nevada or North Carolina. We started off with Michigan, but we look like we are in pretty good shape in Michigan."
    Pretty clear to me that the playing field right now is CO, FL, IA, NV, NH, NC, OH, PA, VA.  Neither side is advertising in WI at the moment.  Might be just waiting until after the recall, or might be because it is pretty safe like MI.
    •  I just don't get Iowa being so close. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Delilah

      Their economy is doing well and they saw Romney up close and personal for months and didn't like him.  

      No point in doing anything in Wisconsin until after the recall election.

      President Obama at Madison Rally 9/28/2010 - "Change is not a spectator sport."

      by askew on Thu May 31, 2012 at 09:29:35 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Hackstra (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Amber6541, bumiputera, bythesea

    He says that his call for an office to verify the eligibility of presidential candidates has "nothing to do about Barack Obama", but then later says "I want to make sure this never happens again."  Which of course suggests that Obama's eligibility to be president is still somehow in question.

    It's a dog whistle to the birthers, plain and simple.  

    There's another old saying, Senator: don't piss down my back and tell me it's trickle down

    by mosec on Thu May 31, 2012 at 08:05:58 AM PDT

  •  Game on in WA State (3+ / 0-)

    http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/...

    Looks like the referendum on the gay marriage law is all but certain now. However (Washington United for Marriage are the "good guys"):

    So far, Washington United for Marriage has raised more than $714,000 in their effort to fight back attempts to overturn the law. Preserve Marriage Washington has raised more than $43,000, according to the most recent numbers with the Public Disclosure Commission.

    "I hope; therefore, I can live."
    For SSP users, see my Tips for Swingnuts diary

    by tietack on Thu May 31, 2012 at 08:06:30 AM PDT

  •  or if they have other weird ideas as well. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    stevenaxelrod

    Like the idea that Adam and Eve had dinosaurs for neighbors in the Garden of Eden 5,000 years ago?

    Scratch a birther or Teabagger, and you're likely to find a Christianist nutter underneath it all.

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