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With this map, North Carolina would likely gain one liberal democrat and one center-left democrat, bringing the delegation to 9 Democrats and only 4 Republicans.

All racial data VAP.



District 1: G.K. Butterfield (D-Wilson)
69-30 Obama    70-30 Democratic        50% Black, 40% White, 6% Hispanic

(Touch-point contiguity at High Point)

Butterfield is probably the only Democrat who would not like the new map, since his new district would contain mostly unfamiliar territory.


District 2:  Walter Jones (R-Nashville)
61-38 McCain    58-42 Republican        71% White, 18% Black, 9% Hispanic

Includes much of Jones' current territory, but the actual 3rd district moves to the east.  He is basically a democrat, with his anti-war, pro-raising taxes on the rich and pro-Medicare positions.  He'd probably survive a primary challenge, as many Republicans in this district are former Democrats, like Jones.


District 3: OPEN
51-48 Obama    54-46 Democratic        61% White, 32% Black, 4% Hispanic

This district would almost certainly elect a Democrat.  The Obama numbers are a little low, but the numbers for statewide races are much higher.


District 4: David Price (D-Chapel Hill)
63-36 Obama    59-41 Democratic        70% White, 14% Black, 7% Asian, 7% Hispanic

Safe Democratic.  I did my best to create a liberal white VAP district. :)  They are a rarity in the South.


District 5: Virginia Foxx (R-Blowing Rock)
64-35 McCain    62-38 Republican        88% White, 5% Black, 5% Hispanic

This district is a Republican sink, by which I mean it sinks a Republican congressman/woman.  Pat McHenry doesn't live here but he'd likely challenge Virginia Foxx for this seat.  Neither is very well-liked in their district, so who knows what would happen here.


District 6: OPEN
57-42 Obama    53-47 Democratic        65% White, 22% Black, 9% Hispanic, 3% Asian

(Touch-point contiguity at High Point)

This district would have a good chance at electing a fifth liberal democrat to NC's delegation.  The north and south ends of this district take in the leftovers from the Triad and Charlotte, while the I-85 part of the district takes the shape of Mel Watt's current district... I know, we couldn't get rid of it. :P


District 7: Mike McIntyre (D-Lumberton)
52-48 McCain    51-49 Democratic        65% White, 20% Black, 5% Hispanic

Takes in more of Fayetteville and loses Sampson & Duplin.  Still safe for McIntyre.


District 8: Larry Kissell (D-Biscoe)
50-49 McCain    50-50 Democratic        63% White, 24% Black, 9% Hispanic

This district probably fits Kissell's voting pattern better than his current district.  He's really not safe anywhere, but he could win here.


District 9: Sue Myrick (R-Charlotte)
65-34 McCain    67-33 Republican        83% White, 7% Black, 6% Hispanic

Runs east of I-85 from Charlotte to Greensboro.  Very safe for Myrick.


District 10: Howard Coble (R-Greensboro)
63-36 McCain    65-35 Republican        85% White, 8% Black, 4% Hispanic

Coble's pretty old, but he's showing no signs of retiring yet.  Regardless, he could get a primary challenge from Patrick McHenry here.


District 11: Heath Shuler (D-Waynesville)
52-47 McCain    52-48 Republican        88% White, 4% Black, 4% Hispanic

Doesn't change much.  Safe for Shuler in the general, but he's still vulnerable in a primary.


District 12: Mel Watt (D-Charlotte) vs. Patrick McHenry (R-Cherryville)
62-37 Obama    60-40 Democratic        49% White, 35% Black, 11% Hispanic, 4% Asian

Less AA than before, but the 12th becomes more compact with this map.  And I threw Cherryville into this district just to screw McHenry.  If only this map were real....


District 13: Brad Miller (D-Raleigh) vs. Renee Ellmers (R-Dunn)
55-44 Obama    54-46 Democratic        60% White, 27% Black, 9% Hispanic

Not quite as Democratic as before, but Miller could still beat Ellmers here any day.  This district takes a shape similar to the current 2nd, actually.

And that's all!


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