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View Diary: IL-02 primary preview and predictions thread (79 comments)

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  •  One expects polls to differ but... (0+ / 0-)

    I've rarely seen as much difference in two polls which seem to have been taken within a few days of each other as that between the Victory Research poll mentioned above (which shows Halvorson leading Kelly 21-17) and the We Ask America poll that shows Kelly leading Halvorson 37-19 with 11.5 for Beale.

    So either Kelly leads by 18 points or trails by 4!

    •  McCulloch Is Not Credible (5+ / 0-)

      He has a history of running polls like this right before elections.  He had Santorum down 4 in 2006 a day or two out.  He had Moseley Braun headed for a run-off with Rahm in 2011.  

      The radio station 'sponsoring' the poll is a little under 1000 watt station in DuPage that McCulloch is a radio host on.  

      There's also a more recent We Ask America poll with Kelly in the mid-40s and Debbie falling.  The poll is sponsored by Capitol Fax which is a credible source.  

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