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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 1/16 (364 comments)

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  •  Unfortunately for Dems (0+ / 0-)

    the Dem-leaning Republican seats that trended D mostly did so very mildly, while most of the ones that trended Republican did so by a larger amount.

    FL-27    Ros-Lehtinen, Ileana    (R)        53.27%    48.80%    4.47%
    NY-11    Grimm, Michael    (R)        52.17%    48.48%    3.69%
    CA-21    Valadao, David    (R)        55.66%    53.06%    2.60%
    CA-31    Miller, Gary    (R)        58.49%    57.73%    0.75%
    CA-10    Denham, Jeff    (R)        51.84%    51.55%    0.30%
    VA-04    Forbes, Randy    (R)        49.34%    49.24%    0.10%
    VA-02    Rigell, Scott    (R)        50.76%    50.86%    -0.10%
    NY-22    Hanna, Richard    (R)        49.80%    50.00%    -0.20%
    stand out as notably D-trending, while:
    WI-08    Ribble, Reid    (R)        47.77%    54.41%    -6.63%
    IL-06    Roskam, Peter    (R)        45.83%    52.03%    -6.20%
    IL-13    Davis, Rodney    (R)        49.85%    55.60%    -5.75%
    WI-07    Duffy, Sean    (R)        48.43%    54.01%    -5.58%
    IL-16    Kinzinger, Adam    (R)        46.08%    50.92%    -4.84%
    PA-06    Gerlach, Jim    (R)        48.73%    53.54%    -4.80%
    MI-06    Upton, Fred    (R)        49.29%    54.02%    -4.73%
    MI-08    Rogers, Mike J.    (R)        48.44%    52.85%    -4.41%
    PA-15    Dent, Charlie    (R)        48.53%    52.79%    -4.26%
    NV-03    Heck, Joe    (R)        50.41%    54.54%    -4.13%
    NE-02    Terry, Lee    (R)        46.46%    50.51%    -4.04%
    CA-49    Issa, Darrell    (R)        46.59%    50.52%    -3.93%
    PA-08    Fitzpatrick, Michael    (R)        49.95%    53.79%    -3.84%
    MI-11    Bentivolio, Kerry    (R)        47.28%    50.96%    -3.69%
    PA-16    Pitts, Joe    (R)        46.91%    50.55%    -3.65%
    WI-01    Ryan, Paul    (R)        47.88%    51.37%    -3.49%
    MI-07    Walberg, Tim    (R)        48.43%    51.73%    -3.30%
    WA-03    Herrera Beutler, Jaime    (R)        49.13%    51.94%    -2.81%
    stand out as notably R-trending. Some of that is likely just campaign effects, like the increased Republican effort in MI and WI relative to 2008.  But those PA seats are looking pretty solid for Team R, I think, especially since the incumbents are reasonably strong.

    27, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-10 (formerly PA-02/NY-12, then PA-02/NY-14).

    by Xenocrypt on Wed Jan 16, 2013 at 01:25:16 PM PST

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