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  •  Well let's see (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen

    looking at how downballot Dems typical do, generic D should underperform (in an open seat maybe) relative to Obama in:
    AZ-09
    CO-06
    FL-13
    MI-06
    NV-03
    NY-18
    NY-18
    NY-21
    PA-06
    PA-08
    WA-08

    At least those are the ones I've crunched the numbers for already.

    NC-06/NC-04; -9.12, -8.62; Yellow Dog Democrat

    by sawolf on Wed Jan 16, 2013 at 01:17:04 PM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  wait, both NY-18 (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Xenocrypt, R30A, sapelcovits

      and NY-18?  That's amazing!

      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

      by James Allen on Wed Jan 16, 2013 at 01:21:12 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  For the seats where generic D should overperform (0+ / 0-)

      I have:
      CA-07 (surprisingly)
      CA-10
      CA-36
      IL-12
      MN-01
      MN-08
      OR-05

      Ironically that leaves off IA-03 lol, but I just haven't run the updated numbers there yet.

      Also, several but not all of these are done with partisan averages that use the numbers from DRA to compare it to the state as a whole so the lists might be slightly different in a few cases, but you should get the general idea.

      NC-06/NC-04; -9.12, -8.62; Yellow Dog Democrat

      by sawolf on Wed Jan 16, 2013 at 01:25:02 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

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