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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 1/16 (364 comments)

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  •  don't assume that (5+ / 0-)

    Scott has poor numbers now, but Florida usually elects Republicans at the state level and the 2014 voter pool will be older and redder than the 2012 pool. The economy is likely to be somewhat better than it is now, and Scott may even be able to pass some popular bills. I think Crist is likely to beat him, but if anyone else runs I would put it at tossup. Maybe tilt D for Sink.

    SSP poster. 43, new CA-6, -0.25/-3.90

    by sacman701 on Wed Jan 16, 2013 at 12:43:05 PM PST

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    •  Agreed (4+ / 0-)

      Crist, if elected, will govern as a Democrat. He's basically a probationary member of the party, and he's very aware of that. And so far, he's the only lock to defeat Scott. And in a midterm, that's important. He's the most popular Democrat in the state, and he could have coattails too, let's remember.

      Show me a Democrat that's in as good or better position to win the Governor's seat, and I'll be behind you all the way. Until then, I'm more than fine with Crist

      24, Practical Progressive Democrat (-4.75, -4.51), DKE Gay Caucus Majority Leader, IN-02; Swingnut. Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

      by HoosierD42 on Wed Jan 16, 2013 at 01:04:27 PM PST

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    •  I think it's a pretty good assumption that (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      itskevin, MichaelNY

      someone who has a 33/57 approval rating two years into his term is probably bound for defeat.  I doubt he'd lose by that margin of course as there are enough reflexively Republican voters to probably get him to 43% without much sweat, but I think even with Sink it would be Lean D.

      The only reason I wouldn't say Scott is DOA is that it's still two years from election day.  The political environment could clearly change and the economy could improve a good deal, but we don't know if or how they will do that so we can only make assumptions/predictions based on current knowledge.

      NC-06/NC-04; -9.12, -8.62; Yellow Dog Democrat

      by sawolf on Wed Jan 16, 2013 at 01:11:52 PM PST

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